UCF vs. Cincinnati Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 11

The No. 25 UCF Knights (12-2, 1-1 Big 12) host the Cincinnati Bearcats (8-7, 0-2 Big 12) at Addition Financial Arena, starting at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 11, 2026. The Bearcats are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 150.5 points.

UCF fell in its last matchup 87-76 against Oklahoma State on Tuesday. Riley Kugel's team-high 15 points paced UCF in the loss. Cincinnati's last game was a 62-60 loss to West Virginia on Tuesday. Cincinnati got a team-best 15 points from Jalen Celestine in the loss.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida
• Spread favorite: UCF -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCF -177
• Moneyline underdog: Cincinnati +147
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch UCF vs. Cincinnati

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCF vs. Cincinnati

• UCF and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's over/under (150.5 points) 10 times this season.
• There have been four Cincinnati games that finished with a combined score over 150.5 points this season.
• The Knights average 86.9 points per game against the Bearcats' 73.7, amounting to 10.1 points over the game's over/under of 150.5.
• The 141.1 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 9.4 fewer than the 150.5 total in this contest.
• On average, UCF has seen a 162.7-point over/under in its games this season, 12.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 11.5 points separates this matchup's over/under (150.5 points) and the average over/under in Cincinnati's games (139) this season.

Betting the Spread: UCF vs. Cincinnati

• Against the spread, UCF is 7-7-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Knights have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more nine times and are 4-5 ATS in those games.
• Cincinnati is 5-10-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bearcats have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in four chances).
• UCF is 5-5 against the spread, and 9-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or greater, UCF is 4-4 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: UCF vs. Cincinnati

• UCF has been the moneyline favorite in nine games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Knights are undefeated in nine games this season when favored by -177 or more on the moneyline.
• UCF has a 63.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cincinnati has been posted as the moneyline underdog six times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Bearcats have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +147 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cincinnati has a 40.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCF vs. Cincinnati

• Pick ATS: Cincinnati (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (150.5)
  
• Prediction: UCF 80 - Cincinnati 79