UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12

The UC Irvine Anteaters (16-8, 9-3 Big West) visit the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-16, 5-8 Big West) at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 12, 2026. The Anteaters are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 156.5 points.

UC Irvine fell in its most recent matchup 84-79 against UCSB on Saturday. Andre Henry recorded 18 points, two rebounds and one assist for UC Irvine. Cal Poly is coming off of a 67-58 loss to UC Davis in its most recent game on Saturday. Jess Esso Essis scored a team-leading 12 points for Cal Poly in the loss.

UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, California
• Spread favorite: UC Irvine -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: UC Irvine -268
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +212
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly

• This season, four of UC Irvine's 22 games have gone over Thursday's total of 156.5 points.
• In Cal Poly's 23 games this season, 17 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 156.5.
• The Anteaters average 77.5 points per game against the Mustangs' 81.1, amounting to 2.1 points over the matchup's point total of 156.5.
• The 153.7 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 2.8 fewer than the 156.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for UC Irvine's games is 145.2 points, 11.3 lower than the over/under of 156.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 10.7 points lower than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season (167.2 points).

Betting the Spread: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly

• Against the spread, UC Irvine is 11-11-0 this year.
• This season, the Anteaters have an against-the-spread record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• Cal Poly is 11-12-0 against the spread this year.
• The Mustangs have an against the spread record of 6-5 in their 11 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this year.
• Cal Poly is 2-6 overall, and 3-5 against the spread, at home.
• Cal Poly is winless ATS (0-1) as a 5.5-point underdog or more at home.
• On the road, UC Irvine is 5-4 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
• UC Irvine has one win ATS (1-1) as 5.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly

• UC Irvine has been the moneyline favorite in 17 games this season and won 12 (70.6%) of those contests.
• This season, the Anteaters have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -268 on the moneyline.
• UC Irvine has a 72.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cal Poly has been a moneyline underdog in 20 games this season and has come away with the win six times (30%) in those contests.
• This season, the Mustangs have been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +212 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cal Poly has a 32.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly

• Pick ATS: UC Irvine (- 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)
  
• Prediction: UC Irvine 79 - Cal Poly 69