UC Davis vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7

The UC Davis Aggies (14-9, 7-5 Big West) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (9-15, 5-7 Big West) at University Credit Union Center, tipping off at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 7, 2026. The Aggies are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 169.5.

UC Davis won its last matchup 85-75 against UCSB on Thursday. Marcus Wilson scored a team-leading 24 points for UC Davis in the win. Cal Poly fell in its most recent outing 97-96 against CSU Northridge on Thursday. Hamad Mousa's team-high 33 points paced Cal Poly in the loss.

UC Davis vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Center in Davis, California
• Spread favorite: UC Davis -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: UC Davis -265
• Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +213
• Over/Under: 169.5 points

How to watch UC Davis vs. Cal Poly

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UC Davis vs. Cal Poly

• This season, UC Davis and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 169.5 points four times.
• This season, 13 of Cal Poly's games have finished with a combined score higher than 169.5 points.
• The Aggies average 79.8 points per game and the Mustangs score 82.1, which is 7.6 points under the game's over/under of 169.5.
• This matchup's total is 6.6 fewer points than the 162.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in UC Davis' games is 13.5 fewer points than the over/under of 169.5 in this matchup.
• Cal Poly's games have an average over/under of 168.9 points this season, 0.6 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: UC Davis vs. Cal Poly

• UC Davis has played 21 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Aggies have two ATS wins in four games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• In Cal Poly's 22 games this season, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• The Mustangs have an ATS record of 6-4 in their 10 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this season.
• At home this season, UC Davis is 7-4 against the spread and 8-3 overall.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or more, UC Davis has one win ATS (1-2).
• Cal Poly is 8-5 against the spread, and 5-8 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: UC Davis vs. Cal Poly

• UC Davis has won seven of the nine games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Aggies are 2-1 this season when entering a game favored by -265 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from UC Davis, based on the moneyline, is 72.6%.
• Cal Poly has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (31.6%) in those games.
• The Mustangs have a mark of 3-7 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +213 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Cal Poly has a 31.9% chance of pulling out a win.