Troy vs. UL Monroe Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 18

The Troy Trojans (17-10, 9-5 Sun Belt) are big favorites, by 15.5 points, versus the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-23, 1-13 Sun Belt) on February 18, 2026 at Fant-Ewing Coliseum. The Warhawks are struggling right now, having lost three in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The point total in the matchup is set at 153.5.

In its last time out, Troy lost 69-65 to Southern Miss on Saturday. Thomas Dowd's team-high 13 points paced Troy in the losing effort. UL Monroe fell in its most recent matchup 95-84 against Texas State on Saturday. Lavell Brodnex scored 31 points in UL Monroe's loss, leading the team.

Troy vs. UL Monroe Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 18, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: Troy -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -2326
• Moneyline underdog: UL Monroe +1007
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. UL Monroe

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• This season, Troy's games have gone over this matchup's 153.5-point total 13 times.
• In UL Monroe's 25 games this season, 15 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's point total of 153.5.
• The total for the game of 153.5 is 0.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Trojans (81.7) and Warhawks (72.2).
• This matchup's point total is 4.5 less than the 158 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Troy has had a 156.3-point over/under in its games this season, 2.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• UL Monroe's games have an average over/under of 155.5 points this season, two more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Against the spread, Troy is 14-11-0 this year.
• The Trojans have been favored by 15.5 points or more two times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• UL Monroe has played 25 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Warhawks have been underdogs by 15.5 points or more nine times this season and are 4-5 ATS in those contests.
• UL Monroe is 4-5 against the spread, and 1-8 overall, at home this season.
• This season away from home, Troy is 8-6 against the spread and 8-6 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Troy has entered the game as moneyline favorites 17 times this season and won 10, or 58.8%, of those games.
• The Trojans have played as a favorite of -2326 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 95.9% chance of a victory for Troy.
• UL Monroe has won in one, or 4.5%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Warhawks have been a moneyline underdog of -2326 or more five times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UL Monroe has a 9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Pick ATS: Troy (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Over (153.5)
  
• Prediction: Troy 92 - UL Monroe 69