Troy vs. Texas State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

The Troy Trojans (17-8, 9-3 Sun Belt) visit the Texas State Bobcats (15-11, 7-6 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The Trojans are 5-point favorites in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 140.5.

Their last time out, Troy won on Saturday 79-69 against Akron. In Troy's win, Cooper Campbell led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding two rebounds and five assists). Texas State won its most recent game 77-61 against Western Michigan on Saturday. Mark Drone scored 20 points in Texas State's victory, leading the team.

Troy vs. Texas State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Troy -5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -231
• Moneyline underdog: Texas State +183
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. Texas State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. Texas State

• Troy and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under (140.5 points) 15 times this season.
• This season, 15 games Texas State has played finished with a combined score over 140.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.8 points per game, 16.3 points more than the point total of 140.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 145.6 points per game, 5.1 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Troy's games is 158.0 points, 17.5 more than the total of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• Texas State's games have an average over/under of 144.3 points this season, 3.8 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Texas State

• In Troy's 23 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans are 5-5 ATS when favored by 5 points or more this season.
• Texas State has 13 wins against the spread in 24 games this year.
• The Bobcats have been underdogs by 5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• Texas State is 9-3 against the spread, and 11-1 overall, at home this year.
• Texas State has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 5-point underdog or greater at home.
• In away games, Troy is 8-4 overall and 8-4 against the spread.
• Away from home, Troy has two wins ATS (2-1) as 5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Texas State

• Troy has won 10, or 66.7%, of the 15 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Trojans are 7-3 this season when entering a game favored by -231 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 69.8% chance of a victory for Troy.
• Texas State has come away with two wins in the 12 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Bobcats have been a moneyline underdog of -231 or more four times, losing every contest.
• Texas State has an implied victory probability of 35.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.