Troy vs. Southern Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 14

The Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-1 Sun Belt) square off against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (11-7, 5-1 Sun Belt) as 9.5-point favorites on Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5.

Troy enters this game on the heels of a 90-70 victory against Louisiana on Saturday. In the win, Thomas Dowd paced Troy with 15 points. Southern Miss' most recent game on Saturday ended in a 70-60 win over UL Monroe. Tylik Weeks' team-leading 20 points paced Southern Miss in the win.

Troy vs. Southern Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Trojan Arena in Troy, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Troy -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -422
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Miss +321
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. Southern Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. Southern Miss

• Troy and its opponents have combined to exceed Wednesday's total of 147.5 points nine times this season.
• In Southern Miss' 16 games this season, nine finished with more combined points than Wednesday's over/under of 147.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.8 points per game, 14.3 points more than the total of 147.5 for this game.
• The 149.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 1.8 more than the 147.5-point total in this contest.
• Troy has a 162.9 average over/under in its games this season, 15.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.8 points lower than the average over/under in Southern Miss' games this season of 148.3.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Southern Miss

• Troy has nine wins against the spread in 15 games this season.
• This season, the Trojans have two ATS wins in four games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• Southern Miss has seven wins against the spread in 16 games this year.
• The Golden Eagles have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 9.5 points or more (in four chances).
• Troy is 3-1 against the spread, and 3-1 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 9.5-point favorite or greater, Troy has one win ATS (1-1).
• Southern Miss is 3-5 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Southern Miss

• This season, Troy has been moneyline favorites eight times and won five of those games.
• The Trojans have a record of 4-1 when favored by -422 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 80.8% chance of a victory for Troy.
• Southern Miss has been victorious in two of the nine contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Golden Eagles have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +321 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern Miss has a 23.8% chance of pulling out a win.