Troy vs. Georgia State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4
04 February 2026

The Troy Trojans (15-8, 8-3 Sun Belt) visit the Georgia State Panthers (9-14, 6-5 Sun Belt) at Georgia State Convocation Center, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 4, 2026. The Panthers are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total in the matchup is 144.5.
In its most recent game on Saturday, Troy suffered a 66-44 loss to Appalachian State. In Troy's loss, Theo Seng led the way with a team-high 13 points (adding three rebounds and zero assists). Georgia State heads into this contest following a 69-67 loss to South Alabama on Saturday. Malachi Brown's team-leading 21 points paced Georgia State in the loss.
Troy vs. Georgia State Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Georgia State Convocation Center in Atlanta, Georgia
- Spread favorite: Troy -4.5
- Moneyline favorite: Troy -200
- Moneyline underdog: Georgia State +165
- Over/Under: 144.5 points
How to watch Troy vs. Georgia State
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. Georgia State
- Troy and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total (144.5 points) 13 times this season.
- This season, 10 of Georgia State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points.
- Together, the two teams combine for 154.7 points per game, 10.2 points more than the point total of 144.5 for this matchup.
- The 149.5 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 5.0 more than the 144.5-point over/under in this contest.
- On average, Troy has had a 159.4-point over/under in its games this season, 14.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- Georgia State's games have an average over/under of 144.8 points this season, 0.3 more points than the over/under for this contest.
Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Georgia State
- Troy has played 21 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Trojans have an ATS record of 6-6 in their 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
- In Georgia State's 21 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
- The Panthers are 8-6 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
- Georgia State is 4-2 against the spread, and 4-2 overall, at home this year.
- Troy is 7-4 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, away from home.
- Troy has two wins ATS (2-2) as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Georgia State
- Troy has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and won nine (64.3%) of those contests.
- The Trojans have a record of 8-3, a 72.7% win rate, when favored by -200 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for Troy.
- Georgia State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (29.4%) in those games.
- This year, the Panthers have won four of 14 games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Georgia State has a 37.7% chance of pulling out a win.
