Troy vs. Appalachian State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 31

The Troy Trojans (15-7, 8-2 Sun Belt) face the Appalachian State Mountaineers (14-9, 7-4 Sun Belt) on January 31, 2026 at Trojan Arena. The Trojans are favorites by 7.5 points as they enter the matchup 8-2 in their last 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 138.5.

Troy enters this game after a 73-64 loss to James Madison on Thursday. Victor Valdes' team-leading 16 points paced Troy in the loss. Appalachian State heads into this game following a 70-63 victory over Southern Miss on Thursday. Jalen Tot recorded 19 points, three rebounds and two assists for Appalachian State.

Troy vs. Appalachian State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 4:33 p.m. ET
• Where: Trojan Arena in Troy, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Troy -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -282
• Moneyline underdog: Appalachian State +230
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. Appalachian State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. Appalachian State

• This season, Troy and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 138.5 points 14 times.
• This season, nine of Appalachian State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points.
• The Trojans average 85.5 points per game against the Mountaineers' 72.1, totaling 19.1 points over the game's point total of 138.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 141.5 points per game, 3.0 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Troy's games is 161.6 points, 23.1 more than the total of 138.5 points set for this contest.
• Appalachian State's games have an average over/under of 137.5 points this season, 1.0 fewer point than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. Appalachian State

• Troy is 12-8-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, the Trojans have been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more seven times and are 4-3 ATS in those contests.
• Appalachian State has played 21 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Mountaineers have an ATS record of 3-0 in their three games when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Troy is 5-2 overall and 5-2 against the spread.
• Troy is 3-2 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Away from home, Appalachian State is 7-3 against the spread, and 5-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. Appalachian State

• Troy has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and won nine (69.2%) of those contests.
• The Trojans have a record of 6-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -282 on the moneyline.
• Troy has a 73.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Appalachian State has won in three of the eight contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Mountaineers have been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +230 or worse on the moneyline.
• Appalachian State has an implied victory probability of 30.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.