Toledo vs. Western Michigan Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

The Toledo Rockets (12-12, 6-5 MAC) are big favorites, by 6.5 points, over the Western Michigan Broncos (8-15, 2-8 MAC) on February 11, 2026 at University Arena. The Broncos are struggling right now, having lost three in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The point total for the matchup is set at 155.5.

In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Toledo suffered a 73-71 loss to James Madison. Leroy Blyden Jr.'s team-leading 24 points paced Toledo in the loss. Western Michigan lost its most recent outing 77-61 against Texas State on Saturday. Trey Lewis' team-high 19 points paced Western Michigan in the losing effort.

Toledo vs. Western Michigan Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: University Arena in Kalamazoo, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Toledo -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Toledo -275
• Moneyline underdog: Western Michigan +225
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch Toledo vs. Western Michigan

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Toledo vs. Western Michigan

• Toledo and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total (155.5 points) 12 times this season.
• This season, 10 games Western Michigan has played finished with a combined score over 155.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 155.5 points per game, equal to the total of 155.5 for this contest.
• The 157.1 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 1.6 more than the 155.5 over/under in this contest.
• Toledo has a 158.4 average over/under in its games this season, 2.9 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 1.3 points separates this contest's over/under (155.5 points) and the average over/under in Western Michigan's games (154.2) this season.

Betting the Spread: Toledo vs. Western Michigan

• Toledo is 11-11-0 against the spread this year.
• The Rockets have been favored by 6.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Against the spread, Western Michigan is 12-9-0 this year.
• The Broncos have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Western Michigan is 6-3 overall, and 7-2 against the spread, at home.
• Away from home, Toledo is 6-4 against the spread, and 3-7 overall.
• Away from home, Toledo has one win ATS (1-1) as 6.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Toledo vs. Western Michigan

• Toledo has entered the game as moneyline favorites 12 times this season and won seven, or 58.3%, of those games.
• The Rockets have been at least a -275 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.3% chance of a victory for Toledo.
• Western Michigan has been victorious in three, or 17.6%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Broncos have been a moneyline underdog of -275 or more eight times, losing every contest.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Western Michigan has a 30.8% chance of pulling out a win.