Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 6

The Toledo Rockets (8-6, 2-0 MAC) hit the court against the Northern Illinois Huskies (5-9, 1-2 MAC) as 6.5-point favorites on Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 156.5 in the matchup.

Their last time out, Toledo won on Saturday 78-75 over Central Michigan. Kyler Vanderjagt put up 23 points, two rebounds and one assist for Toledo. Northern Illinois enters this contest on the heels of a 77-73 loss to Kent State on Saturday. Makhai Valentine's team-leading 27 points paced Northern Illinois in the losing effort.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: NIU Convocation Center in DeKalb, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Toledo -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Toledo -307
• Moneyline underdog: Northern Illinois +246
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

• Toledo and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total (156.5 points) seven times this season.
• This season, four of Northern Illinois' games have finished with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• The point total for the game of 156.5 is 2.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Rockets (82.6) and Huskies (76.1).
• The 156.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 0.3 less than the 156.5-point total in this contest.
• Toledo has a 160.4 average over/under in its games this season, 3.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Northern Illinois' games have an average over/under of 154.6 points this season, 1.9 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

• In Toledo's 12 games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
• The Rockets have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more in three chances.
• Northern Illinois has six wins against the spread in 12 games this season.
• The Huskies are 5-4 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
• At home this season, Northern Illinois has one win against the spread and is 2-2 overall.
• Northern Illinois is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 6.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• Away from home, Toledo has two wins against the spread and are 2-3 overall.
• Toledo is winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

• This season, Toledo has won four out of the seven games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Rockets have been at least a -307 moneyline favorite three times this season and won each of those games.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 75.4% chance of a victory for Toledo.
• Northern Illinois has won in one of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Huskies have a mark of 1-6 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +246 or worse on the moneyline.
• Northern Illinois has an implied victory probability of 28.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.