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Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 9

09 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (9-6, 3-0 MAC) host the Miami (OH) RedHawks (16-0, 4-0 MAC) at Savage Arena, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET on Friday, January 9, 2026. The RedHawks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 166.5 points.

Toledo is coming off of a 75-61 win against Northern Illinois in its last outing on Tuesday. In Toledo's win, Kyler Vanderjagt led the way with a team-high 18 points (adding four rebounds and one assist). Miami (OH) is coming off of an 87-76 victory against Western Michigan in its last game on Tuesday. Almar Atlason scored a team-leading 21 points for Miami (OH) in the victory.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Odds and Game Time

  • When: Friday, January 9, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
  • Where: Savage Arena in Toledo, Ohio
  • Spread favorite: Toledo -1.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Toledo -118
  • Moneyline underdog: Miami (OH) -102
  • Over/Under: 166.5 points

How to watch Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

Betting the Over/Under: Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • Toledo and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total (166.5 points) three times this season.
  • This season, three games Miami (OH) has played finished with a combined score over 166.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 175.4 points per game, 8.9 points more than the point total of 166.5 for this game.
  • This matchup's point total is 17.5 fewer points than the 149 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
  • This season the average over/under for Toledo's games is 158.8 points, 7.7 lower than the over/under of 166.5 points set for this contest.
  • The over/under for this contest is 1.0 point more than the average over/under in Miami (OH)'s games this season (165.5 points).
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Betting the Spread: Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • Toledo has five wins against the spread in 13 games this season.
  • This season, the Rockets have just two ATS wins in eight games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
  • Against the spread, Miami (OH) is 10-3-0 this season.
  • The RedHawks have always covered the spread this year when underdogs by 1.5 points or more.
  • At home this season, Toledo has one win against the spread and is 3-2 overall.
  • Toledo has one win ATS (1-4) as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home.
  • In away games, Miami (OH) is 6-0 overall and 5-1 against the spread.
  • This year, as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Miami (OH) is 4-1 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • This season, Toledo has won five out of the eight games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
  • The Rockets have a record of 5-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for Toledo.
  • Miami (OH) has won in each of the two match ups it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
  • The RedHawks have been listed as an underdog of -102 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami (OH) has a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • Pick ATS: Toledo (- 1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (166.5)
  • Prediction: Toledo 79 - Miami (OH) 76

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