The 2022 RBC Heritage Betting Preview/Prop Picks
13 April 2022
The next PGA event is showcased in Hilton Head, South Carolina, for the RBC Heritage. This event will be slightly smaller than the Masters' field and, of course, will provide different challenges.
A handful of the top golfers are expected to perform well here. Below you can see which golfers have a shot to win.
Tournament Details
Date: Apr 14–17, 2022
Course: Harbour Town Golf Links
Watch on: GOLF, CBS
Purse: $8,000,000
Betting Overview
This course demands golfers to be accurate off of the tee and with iron play. Simply put, if you cannot shoot the ball exactly where you want to, then you will struggle playing here.
Nearly half of the top 10 ranked golfers will be competing after playing at the Masters. With that being said, they arguably have the best momentum heading into this event.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Cameron Smith (-21.940) and Shane Lowry (-31.433) are both coming off of T3 finishes at the Masters recently. Smith is the fifth-ranked golfer in the world, while Lowry is at 30th.
Both are great off of the tee and can support their game with strong iron play. However, Smith would likely edge him out here due to recent form in other events.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index is showing these top ten golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:
1 Cameron Smith -21.940
2 Justin Thomas -26.692
3 Russell Henley -29.338
4 Shane Lowry -31.433
5 Webb Simpson -31.856
6 Corey Conners -32.159
7 Matt Fitzpatrick -32.262
8 Daniel Berger -32.380
9 Collin Morikawa -32.946
10 Adam Hadwin -33.106
*index is subject to changes
Golfers That Could Win
Justin Thomas (-26.692) had a rough start to the Masters and ultimately could not catch back up. But, he was still able to play well enough to move up to a T8 finish. With solid course history on his resume here, he is due for a win.
Webb Simpson (-31.856) could be a steal for this tournament as one of the best underdog betting options to consider. In his last five starts here, he has never placed worse than T16 and won this back in 2020.
Collin Morikawa (-32.946) is still fresh in his second-place ranking in the world and just posted a fifth-place finish at the Masters. He had an opportunity to nearly win it but just came up short compared to the field. Looking back at previous results here, he finished with a T7 last year at the RBC Heritage.
Potential Winning Pick
Cameron Smith (-21.940) might be overlooked by bettors due to Scottie Scheffler's dominance this season. However, Smith is quietly asserting the same dominance.
He started off the year with a victory at the Tournament of Champions, won at the Players Championship, and finished T3 at the Masters recently. He is on the verge of landing another victory.
Prop Picks
Top 5 Finish: Justin Thomas (+225)
Thomas continued his solid season with a tie for 8th at The Masters. He comes into this week ranked No. 2 in birdie average (5.14) and scoring average (69.648).
Rated No. 2 in this week’s Dunkel Index, Thomas looks well-positioned to pick up his 15th PGA title and a strong play at plus money (+225) for a Top 5 finish.
Top 10 Finish: Collin Morikawa (+150)
If there’s a leaderboard this year, Morikawa is usually on it. His tie for 5th at The Masters made it six Top 10 finishes in eight events. He comes in ranked No. 6 in birdie average (4.62) and No. 8 in scoring average (69.890).
Rated No. 9 in this week’s Dunkel Index, it only makes sense to grab Morikawa (+150) at plus money for another Top 10 finish.
Tournament Matchup: Russell Henley (-110) OVER Corey Conners
Henley wasn’t at his best at The Masters (tie for 30th), but that doesn’t overshadow a season that includes eight Top 25 finishes in 13 events. He currently ranks No. 7 in birdie average (4.60) and No. 5 in scoring average (69.796).
Conners was stronger at The Masters (tie for 6th), but has been more inconsistent with only six Top 25 finishes in 13 events and three missed cuts.
With Henley rated No. 3 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Conners at No. 6, these two should be on the leaderboard all weekend, but stick with the more consistent Henley (-110) to get the better of this matchup.
Tournament Matchup: Matt Fitzpatrick (-130) OVER Daniel Berger
We took Fitzpatrick last week to get the better of Tyrrell Hatton and he responded with a strong tie for 14th at The Masters. That was the Englishman’s 6th Top 25 finish in nine events that includes a tie for 5th at the Valspar in late March. He comes in ranked No. 6 in scoring average (69.850).
After firing a first round 71, Berger faded at The Masters and closed with an 80 that put him in a tie for 50th. Those struggles dropped him to No. 47 in scoring average (70.661).
With Fitzpatrick ranked No. 7 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Berger No. 8, these two should also be battling near the top of the leaderboard, but take Fitzpatrick (-130) to have the edge in the end.
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