The 2022 Honda Classic Betting Preview/Prop Picks
22 February 2022
The upcoming PGA event is heading to Palm Beach, Florida, to start an East coast chain of events. This year’s Honda Classic will have a bit stronger field than what it was last year due to the rearranging of the schedule.
Many golfers will either be competing for the first time or will compete for the first time in a few years. Below you will see how this could potentially play out.
Tournament Details
Date: Feb 24–27, 2022
Course: PGA National Resort & Spa - The Champion
Watch on: NBC, GOLF
Purse: $8,000,000
Betting Overview
Playing at the Honda Classic deserves a lot more attention than some other events in the schedule. Many golfers struggle here, especially the best in the game.
The fairways are about 30 yards wide, so there is no room for error off of the tee. On top of that, there is water everywhere you look, with only a few holes that do not have water in play.
Wind also plays a huge factor on a majority of the holes. This is especially true for the bear trap holes, which are 15,16, and 17 and are right in the wind.
Head to Head Matchup to Watch
Tommy Fleetwood (-28.991) and Billy Horschel (-29.094) are quite a unique pair to watch for this event. Both golfers are in the middle of the pack when it comes to favorites and underdogs.
It is surprising to see Fleetwod not able to score a win since 2018. But compared to Horschel, Fleetwood leads in just about every statistic you can think of.
Dunkel Index For This Event
The Dunkel Index is showing these top 10 golfers that could win this event. The following ten are:
1 Louis Oosthuizen -22.790
2 Joaquin Niemann -27.739
3 Tommy Fleetwood -28.991
4 Billy Horschel -29.094
5 Denny McCarthy -30.371
6 Daniel Berger -30.385
7 Zach Johnson -31.748
8 Stewart Cink -31.763
9 Keith Mitchell -32.048
10 KH Lee -32.253
*index is subject to changes
Golfers That Could Win
Keith Mitchell (-32.048) is an excellent choice for a golfer to win, especially with his previous success at this event. Winning in 2018, he competed against some of the golfers that are competing in this event once again. On top of that, he has three top 12 finishes out of his last four events leading up to this one.
Joaquin Niemann (-27.739) is hot off of an excellent victory at the Genesis Invitational. If he can perform under pressure against a loaded field, he has a shot at winning here.
Potential Winning Pick
Tommy Fleetwood (-28.991) has not missed a cut in his last 18 starts. He also has plenty of top finishes, with four top 10’s lately and one of those being a T8 in the Saudi International.
Looking at this event, Fleetwood is first in tee to green and in ball striking over the last eight rounds here. He also ranks third in off the tee and fourth for approach. He has a great opportunity to keep the trend going for first-time winners in the PGA for five straight weeks.
Prop Picks
Head-To-Head: Louis Oosthuizen (-120) OVER Daniel Berger
Oosthuizen took off an extended period of time, but came back strong with a tie for 14th at the WM Phoenix Open. That followed up a season that saw the South African finish in the Top 10 eight times, including four runner-ups.
Berger has played well at the Honda, including a pair of Top 5 finishes. But he hurt his back at the Farmer’s a few weeks ago and missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open in his return.
With Oosthuizen rated No. 1 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Berger at No. 6, take Louis (-120) to get the better of this matchup.
Head-To-Head: K.H. Lee (-120) OVER Russell Knox
Lee picked up his first PGA Tour title last year at the Byron Nelson and has continued his solid play by making the cut in eight of his nine tournaments so far. He’s coming off a tie for 26th at last week’s Genesis Invitational.
Knox is a two-time winner on Tour and is in the midst of an interesting streak with three straight finishes of tied for 33rd at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, WM Phoenix Open and Genesis Invitational last week.
With Lee rated No. 10 in this week’s Dunkel Index and Knox at No. 11, these two should continue their consistent play this week, but take the South Korean (-120) to edge out Knox in their head-to-head.
Check out the latest sports team rankings & power ratings!
