Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17

The No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-6, 9-3 Big 12) are favored by 7.5 points over the Arizona State Sun Devils (13-12, 4-8 Big 12) on February 17, 2026 at Desert Financial Arena. The Red Raiders are red-hot, having won three in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points.

Texas Tech won its most recent matchup 78-75 in OT against Arizona on Saturday. JT Toppin's team-leading 31 points led Texas Tech in the win. In its last matchup on Tuesday, Arizona State earned an 85-76 victory against Oklahoma State. Massamba Diop's team-leading 17 points paced Arizona State in the victory.

Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 11 p.m. ET
• Where: Desert Financial Arena in Tempe, Arizona
• Spread favorite: Texas Tech -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas Tech -372
• Moneyline underdog: Arizona State +284
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

• Texas Tech and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's over/under of 155.5 points 12 times this season.
• This season, 14 games Arizona State has played finished with a combined score higher than 155.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 160.7 points per game, 5.2 points more than the total of 155.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 151.6 points per game, 3.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Texas Tech's games is 1.1 fewer points than the over/under of 155.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 2.4 points lower than the average over/under in Arizona State's games this season of 157.9.

Betting the Spread: Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

• Against the spread, Texas Tech is 13-12-0 this season.
• The Red Raiders have been favored by 7.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 5-6 ATS in those contests.
• Arizona State has 15 wins against the spread in 25 games this year.
• The Sun Devils are 5-3 ATS when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Arizona State is 7-5 against the spread and 7-5 overall.
• At home, Arizona State has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 7.5-point underdog or more.
• Texas Tech is 4-3 against the spread, and 4-3 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

• Texas Tech has won 16, or 84.2%, of the 19 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Red Raiders have entered 11 games this season favored by -372 or more, and won each of those games.
• Texas Tech has a 78.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Arizona State has been a moneyline underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win six times (40%) in those contests.
• The Sun Devils have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +284 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arizona State has a 26% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas Tech vs. Arizona State

• Pick ATS: Texas Tech (- 7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (155.5)
  
• Prediction: Texas Tech 86 - Arizona State 71