Texas State vs. Southern Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 17

The Texas State Bobcats (10-9, 3-4 Sun Belt) host the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (11-8, 5-2 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, tipping off at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Golden Eagles are 3-point underdogs in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 139.5.

In its last matchup on Wednesday, Texas State claimed a 59-54 victory against Louisiana. Kaden Gumbs scored a team-high 18 points for Texas State in the victory. Southern Miss fell in its last outing 91-65 against Troy on Wednesday. Southern Miss got a team-leading 12 points from Israel Hart in the loss.

Texas State vs. Southern Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -3
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -155
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Miss +130
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Texas State vs. Southern Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. Southern Miss

• Texas State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (139.5 points) 11 times this season.
• A total of 12 of Southern Miss' games have finished with a combined score over 139.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 139.5 is 10.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bobcats (74.1) and Golden Eagles (75.4).
• The 144.6 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 5.1 more than the 139.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Texas State's games is 145.3 points, 5.8 more than the total of 139.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 9.2 points lower than the average over/under in Southern Miss' games this season of 148.7.

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. Southern Miss

• Against the spread, Texas State is 7-10-0 this year.
• The Bobcats have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 3 points or more (in six chances).
• Southern Miss is 7-10-0 against the spread this season.
• The Golden Eagles have an against the spread record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 3 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Texas State is 5-3 against the spread and 7-1 overall.
• Texas State has two wins ATS (2-2) as a 3-point favorite or greater at home.
• Southern Miss is 4-5 against the spread, and 3-6 overall, in away games.
• On the road, Southern Miss is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 3-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. Southern Miss

• This season, Texas State has been moneyline favorites nine times and won eight of those games.
• The Bobcats have a record of 7-1 when favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for Texas State.
• Southern Miss has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (20%) in those games.
• This season, the Golden Eagles have come away with a win one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Southern Miss has a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.