Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 12

The Texas Southern Tigers (2-12, 0-3 SWAC) host the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-16, 0-3 SWAC) at H&PE Arena, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 12, 2026. The Tigers are 14.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is 141.5 for the matchup.

Texas Southern heads into this matchup following a 74-66 loss to UAPB on Saturday. In the losing effort, Troy Hupstead led Texas Southern with 16 points. Mississippi Valley State heads into this matchup on the heels of a 70-69 loss to Prairie View A&M on Saturday. Daniel Mayfield's team-high 20 points paced Mississippi Valley State in the loss.

Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, January 12, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: H&PE Arena in Houston, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas Southern -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas Southern -1075
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi Valley State +677
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State

• This season, Texas Southern and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's over/under of 141.5 points 10 times.
• A total of 12 of Mississippi Valley State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 141.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 135.4 points per game, 6.1 fewer points than the over/under of 141.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 172.2 points per game, 30.7 more than this contest's over/under.
• Texas Southern has seen a 155.1 average over/under in its games this season, 13.6 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• Mississippi Valley State's games have an average over/under of 152.4 points this season, 10.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Texas Southern has one win against the spread in 12 games this season.
• Mississippi Valley State has played 16 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• The Delta Devils have been underdogs by 14.5 points or more 13 times this season and are 8-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Texas Southern is winless against the spread, and 0-4 overall, at home this season.
• In away games, Mississippi Valley State is 0-11 overall and 6-5 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Texas Southern lost the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Tigers have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -1075 moneyline set for this game.
• Texas Southern has a 91.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Mississippi Valley State has been moneyline underdogs in nine games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
• The Delta Devils have won all of their seven games in which they were named as at least a +677 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi Valley State has a 12.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Texas Southern (- 14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)
  
• Prediction: Texas Southern 85 - Mississippi Valley State 64