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Texas vs. LSU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17

17 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Texas Longhorns (16-9, 7-5 SEC) are big favorites, by 11.5 points, over the LSU Tigers (14-11, 2-10 SEC) on February 17, 2026 at Moody Center. The Tigers are sputtering right now, having lost three in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is 150.5.

Texas enters this matchup after an 85-68 win against Missouri on Saturday. Dailyn Swain put up 25 points, six rebounds and two assists for Texas. LSU's most recent outing was a 73-63 loss to Tennessee on Saturday. Marquel Sutton's team-high 15 points paced LSU in the losing effort.

Texas vs. LSU Odds and Game Time

  • When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Moody Center in Austin, Texas
  • Spread favorite: Texas -11.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Texas -847
  • Moneyline underdog: LSU +554
  • Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Texas vs. LSU

Betting the Over/Under: Texas vs. LSU

  • This season, 17 of Texas' 25 games have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 150.5 points.
  • In LSU's 25 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's total of 150.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 165.9 points per game, 15.4 points more than the point total of 150.5 for this game.
  • This matchup's total is 0.8 fewer points than the 149.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
  • Texas has seen a 159.6 average over/under in its games this season, 9.1 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • LSU's games have an average over/under of 156.0 points this season, 5.5 more points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Texas vs. LSU

  • Texas has played 25 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
  • The Longhorns have been favored by 11.5 points or more nine times this season and are 6-3 ATS in those matchups.
  • LSU has 14 wins against the spread in 25 games this season.
  • The Tigers have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 11.5 points or more (in three chances).
  • At home this year, Texas is 8-6 against the spread and 11-3 overall.
  • As a 11.5-point favorite or more at home, Texas is 5-3 ATS.
  • LSU is 6-1 against the spread, and 2-5 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas vs. LSU

  • This season, Texas has won nine out of the 13 games, or 69.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
  • The Longhorns have entered six games this season favored by -847 or more, and won each of those games.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 89.4% chance of a victory for Texas.
  • LSU has been moneyline underdogs in nine games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
  • The Tigers have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +554 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies LSU has a 15.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas vs. LSU

  • Pick ATS: Texas (- 11.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (150.5)
  • Prediction: Texas 82 - LSU 67

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