Tennessee vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 6

The No. 21 Tennessee Volunteers (10-4, 0-1 SEC) host the Texas Longhorns (9-5, 0-1 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 6, 2026. The Volunteers are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 154 points.

Tennessee fell in its most recent matchup 86-75 against Arkansas on Saturday. Amari Evans' team-leading 16 points paced Tennessee in the loss. Texas' last game on Saturday ended in a 101-98 loss to Mississippi State in overtime. Texas got a team-high 34 points from Dailyn Swain in the loss.

Tennessee vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Tennessee -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tennessee -621
• Moneyline underdog: Texas +449
• Over/Under: 154 points

How to watch Tennessee vs. Texas

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tennessee vs. Texas

• Tennessee and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total of 154 points five times this season.
• In Texas' 14 games this season, nine finished with more combined points than Tuesday's over/under of 154.
• Together, the two teams combine for 171.9 points per game, 17.9 points more than the total of 154 for this matchup.
• The 138.7 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 15.3 less than the 154-point total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Tennessee's games is 5.4 fewer points than the over/under of 154 in this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 8.1 points lower than the average over/under in Texas' games this season of 162.1.

Betting the Spread: Tennessee vs. Texas

• Tennessee has played 14 games, with five wins against the spread.
• The Volunteers are 3-5 ATS when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
• In Texas' 14 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread.
• This year, the Longhorns have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
• Tennessee is 3-5 against the spread, and 8-0 overall, at home this year.
• At home, as a 10.5-point favorite or more, Tennessee has two wins ATS (2-5).

Betting the Moneyline: Tennessee vs. Texas

• Tennessee has entered the game as moneyline favorites 12 times this season and won nine, or 75%, of those games.
• The Volunteers have entered eight games this season favored by -621 or more, and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from Tennessee, based on the moneyline, is 86.1%.
• Texas has won in one of the three contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Longhorns have been listed as an underdog of +449 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas has an 18.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Tennessee vs. Texas

• Pick ATS: Tennessee (- 10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154)
  
• Prediction: Tennessee 82 - Texas 64