Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

The Tennessee Volunteers (16-7, 6-4 SEC) visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-12, 3-7 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The Bulldogs are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is 147.5.

Tennessee dropped its last outing 74-71 against Kentucky on Saturday. Nate Ament put up 29 points, eight rebounds and three assists for Tennessee. Mississippi State lost its last outing 88-68 against Arkansas on Saturday. Josh Hubbard's team-high 16 points paced Mississippi State in the losing effort.

Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Tennessee -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tennessee -383
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +292
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• This season, Tennessee and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 147.5 points 15 times.
• There have been 16 Mississippi State games that ended with a combined score over 147.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the game of 147.5 is 11.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Volunteers (81.7) and Bulldogs (77.4).
• These two teams surrender a combined 148.4 points per game, 0.9 more than this contest's over/under.
• Tennessee has seen a 151.5 average over/under in its games this season, 4.0 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Mississippi State's games have an average over/under of 156.0 points this season, 8.5 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Tennessee has nine wins against the spread in 23 games this season.
• This season, the Volunteers have an ATS record of 5-7 in their 12 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Mississippi State is 8-15-0 this year.
• This season, the Bulldogs have just two against the spread wins in five games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
• Mississippi State is 3-9 against the spread, and 7-5 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Mississippi State has one win ATS (1-4) as a 7.5-point underdog or more.
• In away games, Tennessee has just one win against the spread and are 2-4 overall.
• Tennessee is winless ATS (0-1) as 7.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Tennessee has entered the game as moneyline favorites 18 times this season and won 14, or 77.8%, of those games.
• The Volunteers are undefeated in 11 games this season when favored by -383 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Tennessee, based on the moneyline, is 79.3%.
• Mississippi State has been victorious in two of the nine contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This year, the Bulldogs have won one of three games when listed as at least +292 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 25.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+ 7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (147.5)
  
• Prediction: Mississippi State 78 - Tennessee 77