St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Summit League Tournament

The No. 2 seed Saint Thomas Tommies (23-8, 12-4 Summit League) are 5.5-point favorites in the Summit League Tournament when they take on the No. 7 seed South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17, 7-9 Summit League) on Thursday at Denny Sanford Premier Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Summit League Network. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 149.5 for the matchup.

In its last matchup on Saturday, St. Thomas earned a 68-53 win against Omaha. In the win, Nolan Minessale paced St. Thomas with 20 points. South Dakota State's most recent contest on Saturday ended in a 75-70 loss to South Dakota. South Dakota State got a team-best 24 points from Joe Sayler in the loss.

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota
• Spread favorite: St. Thomas -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: St. Thomas -278
• Moneyline underdog: South Dakota State +223
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• TV Channel: Summit League Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• This season, 18 of St. Thomas' 28 games have gone over Thursday's total of 149.5 points.
• There have been 14 South Dakota State games that ended with a combined score over 149.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 159 points per game, 9.5 points more than the over/under of 149.5 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 144.6 points per game, 4.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, St. Thomas has seen a 155.3-point over/under in its games this season, 5.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 1.2 points more than the average over/under in South Dakota State's games this season (148.3 points).

Betting the Spread: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• Against the spread, St. Thomas is 14-14-0 this season.
• The Tommies have been favored by 5.5 points or more 17 times this season and are 10-7 ATS in those matchups.
• South Dakota State has played 28 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Jackrabbits have an ATS record of 4-1 in their five games when underdogs by 5.5 points or more this season.
• At home this season, St. Thomas is 6-6 against the spread and 11-1 overall.
• At home, St. Thomas is 5-6 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or more.
• South Dakota State is 7-6 against the spread, and 4-9 overall, away from home.
• On the road, South Dakota State has two wins ATS (2-2) as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• St. Thomas has won 19, or 82.6%, of the 23 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Tommies have a record of 14-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -278 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.5% chance of a victory for St. Thomas.
• South Dakota State has been named as the moneyline underdog nine times this season but has yet to come away with a victory in any of those games.
• The Jackrabbits have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +223 moneyline underdog.
• South Dakota State has an implied victory probability of 31% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.