St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 22

The Saint Thomas Tommies (15-5, 4-1 Summit League) square off against the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (10-10, 3-2 Summit League) as 7-point favorites on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET on Summit League Network. The matchup has a point total of 155.5.

Their last time out, St. Thomas lost 68-65 to North Dakota State on Saturday. In St. Thomas' loss, Nolan Minessale led the way with a team-high 16 points (adding three rebounds and six assists). In its most recent matchup on Saturday, South Dakota State earned a 90-62 win against UMKC. Joe Sayler's team-high 22 points paced South Dakota State in the victory.

St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Spread favorite: St. Thomas -7
• Moneyline favorite: St. Thomas -313
• Moneyline underdog: South Dakota State +250
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• TV Channel: My Network TV (WFTCDT – Minneapolis, MN)
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• St. Thomas and its opponents have combined to go over Thursday's total of 155.5 points eight times this season.
• In South Dakota State's 17 games this season, seven finished with more combined points than Thursday's total of 155.5.
• The Tommies average 82.0 points per game against the Jackrabbits' 76.7, amounting to 3.2 points over the matchup's total of 155.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 144.3 points per game, 11.2 points less than this contest's over/under.
• St. Thomas has seen a 154.2 average over/under in its games this season, 1.3 less than the over/under in this contest.
• South Dakota State's games have an average over/under of 148.8 points this season, 6.7 points lower than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• Against the spread, St. Thomas is 7-10-0 this year.
• The Tommies are 4-5 ATS when favored by 7 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, South Dakota State is 8-8-1 this year.
• This season, the Jackrabbits have won ATS in each of their three games as an underdog of 7 points or more.
• At home this year, St. Thomas has two wins against the spread and is 6-0 overall.
• At home, as a 7-point favorite or more, St. Thomas has two wins ATS (2-4).
• In away games, South Dakota State is 4-3 against the spread, and 2-5 overall.
• Away from home, South Dakota State is winless ATS (0-1) as 7-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• St. Thomas has entered the game as moneyline favorites 13 times this season and won 12, or 92.3%, of those games.
• This season, the Tommies have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -313 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 75.8% chance of a victory for St. Thomas.
• South Dakota State has been posted as the moneyline underdog seven times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Jackrabbits have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +250 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• South Dakota State has an implied victory probability of 28.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for St. Thomas vs. South Dakota State

• Pick ATS: South Dakota State (+ 7)
• Pick OU: Over (155.5)
  
• Prediction: St. Thomas 79 - South Dakota State 78