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St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview/Prop Picks

03 July 2022

We've got a big game today between the Cardinals and the Phillies. The St. Louis Cardinals are 44-36 this season with a 20-20 record on the road.

At the moment, the series between these two is tied at 1-1, with this being the final game. With each of these teams trying to climb up in their divisions, a win here is vital. The Cardinals, however, come into this one as the underdogs.

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-38 and are currently third in the NL East. A win here could put them slightly closer to the Atlanta Braves. A loss, however, could see them fall further in the division should the Miami Marlins win a few games.

Philadelphia will be sending out one of its best pitchers tonight in an effort to secure this one. As the favorites, the Phillies are -150.

 

Moneyline

St. Louis Cardinals ML +128

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St. Louis Cardinals: Wainwright gets the nod for the Cardinals

The pitcher for the Cardinals tonight is Adam Wainwright, who is 6-5 as a starter. Wainwright has an ERA of 3.07 with a 1.25 WHIP. In 91 innings, Wainwright has thrown 76 strikeouts and has allowed 88 hits.

In his last three games, Wainwright is 2-1. The loss was credited to him in a game against the Boston Red Sox. Still, he's a strong pitcher with the ability to lead his team.

Pitching will likely not be the reason why the Cardinals win this game. Their area of strength is at the plate. This season, the Cardinals rank fifth in Major League Baseball in team batting average at .254.

Regarding runs, the Cardinals rank third overall with a total of 383. They also rank in the top ten in terms of slugging percentage (.412) and on-base percentage (.321).

Philadelphia Phillies: The pitching battle will be one to watch

The reason why the Phillies come into this game as the favorite is likely due to their starting pitcher. Zack Wheeler takes the mound today for Philadelphia, who has an impressive 6-4 record as a starter.

What's more impressive than his record is his 2.89 ERA over the course of 81 innings. In that time, Wheeler has thrown 94 strikeouts and has only allowed 70 hits.

With Wheeler on one side and Wainwright on the other, this will come down to batting. This area is where the Phillies are struggling, especially without Bryce Harper.

As a team, the Phillies rank 11th overall with a batting average of .247. They have an on-base percentage of .317, ranking right in the middle of MLB at 15th. Due to their performance at the plate, they're tough to trust.

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick

When looking at the Phillies batters, our concern for them winning begins. Wheeler may be a strong pitcher, but the Cardinals batters are going to be trouble for him.

It's also important to note that Wheeler likely won't pitch the full game. Along with that, the Phillies batters haven't shown us much this season either.

Because of this, we'll take the St. Louis Cardinals to win this one on the road. They come in as +128 favorites which should also help us claim more winnings. Along with the Cardinals at +128, we'll take the under as well, with a final score of 4-3.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +128, UNDER

Prop Picks

Philadelphia (+110) UNDER 3.5 Runs

St. Louis is allowing 3.99 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 7 in the league, while giving up 0.98 HRs, which ranks No. 8. Scores have gone UNDER in five of the Cardinals’ last seven games against Philadelphia.

With Dunkel predicting a St. Louis victory by the score of 3-2, take the Phillies (+110) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Cardinals.

Zack Wheeler (-105) OVER 6.5 Strikeouts

Wheeler has recorded 94 strikeouts in 81 innings pitched, which ranks No. 2 on the Phillies and No. 17 in MLB. The veteran right hander has 56 Ks in 48.2 innings pitched with an OBA of .191 at home. 

With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas total, take Wheeler (-105) to finish OVER 6.5 strikeouts versus St. Louis.

Keep up with your latest MLB news coverage at The Dunkel Index.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.

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