Southern vs. Alabama State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 9

The Southern Jaguars (10-13, 6-4 SWAC) host the Alabama State Hornets (7-16, 4-6 SWAC) at F.G. Clark Activity Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 9, 2026. The Jaguars are 6.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under is 149.5 in the matchup.

Southern heads into this game following an 81-68 win over Alabama A&M on Saturday. In the victory, Terrance Dixon Jr. paced Southern with 18 points. Alabama State heads into this game following a 57-47 loss to Grambling on Saturday. Micah Simpsom's team-leading 15 points paced Alabama State in the loss.

Southern vs. Alabama State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: F.G. Clark Activity Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: Southern -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Southern -323
• Moneyline underdog: Alabama State +252
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Southern vs. Alabama State

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Southern vs. Alabama State

• A total of 11 of Southern's games this season have gone over Monday's over/under of 149.5 points.
• A total of 13 of Alabama State's games have finished with a combined score over 149.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 154.1 points per game, 4.6 points more than the over/under of 149.5 for this game.
• This game's total is 9.0 less than the 158.5 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• Southern has a 159.8 average over/under in its games this season, 10.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 3.4 points lower than the average over/under in Alabama State's games this season of 152.9.

Betting the Spread: Southern vs. Alabama State

• Southern has eight wins against the spread in 20 games this season.
• The Jaguars have been favored by 6.5 points or more six times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Against the spread, Alabama State is 9-13-0 this year.
• The Hornets have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more nine times this year and are 3-6 ATS in those matchups.
• Southern has covered the spread twice at home, and is 3-2 overall there, this year.
• At home, as a 6.5-point favorite or greater, Southern has two wins ATS (2-3).
• Alabama State is 6-9 against the spread, and 3-12 overall, on the road.
• Alabama State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 6.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Southern vs. Alabama State

• This season, Southern has won five out of the nine games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Jaguars have a record of 1-3 when favored by -323 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Southern has a 76.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Alabama State has come away with three wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Hornets have come away with a win one times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +252 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Alabama State has a 28.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Southern vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Southern (- 6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (149.5)
  
• Prediction: Southern 87 - Alabama State 68