South Florida vs. UTSA Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4

The South Florida Bulls (14-8, 6-3 AAC) play the UTSA Roadrunners (4-17, 0-9 AAC) on February 4, 2026 at Yuengling Center. The Roadrunners are underdogs by a 25.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 164.5 points.

South Florida fell in its most recent matchup 79-78 against Temple on Saturday. In South Florida's loss, Izaiyah Nelson led the way with a team-high 18 points (adding eight rebounds and four assists). UTSA's last contest was an 83-73 loss to UAB on Wednesday. Brent Moss' team-leading 19 points paced UTSA in the loss.

South Florida vs. UTSA Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Yuengling Center in Tampa, Florida
• Spread favorite: South Florida -25.5
• Moneyline favorite: South Florida -8333
• Moneyline underdog: UTSA +2100
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch South Florida vs. UTSA

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: South Florida vs. UTSA

• This season, South Florida and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's total of 164.5 points 10 times.
• There have been just two games featuring UTSA this season with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 164.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 157.7 points per game, 6.8 fewer points than the point total of 164.5 for this contest.
• This game's point total is 6.5 fewer points than the 158 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, South Florida has seen a 168.6-point over/under in its games this season, 4.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 17.3 points separates this game's over/under (164.5 points) and the average over/under in UTSA's games (147.2) this season.

Betting the Spread: South Florida vs. UTSA

• South Florida has played 21 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have always covered the spread this season when favored by 25.5 points or more.
• UTSA has five wins against the spread in 19 games this season.
• This season, the Roadrunners are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 25.5 points or more.
• At home this season, South Florida is 5-4 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
• At home, as a 25.5-point favorite or more, South Florida is unbeaten ATS (2-0).
• UTSA has one win against the spread, and are 1-8 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: South Florida vs. UTSA

• South Florida has entered the game as moneyline favorites 17 times this season and won 12, or 70.6%, of those games.
• The Bulls have played as a favorite of -8333 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from South Florida, based on the moneyline, is 98.8%.
• UTSA has come away with two wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• Oddsmakers have given the Roadrunners the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +2100 moneyline listed for this contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UTSA has a 4.5% chance of walking away with the win.