South Dakota State vs. Denver Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 12
12 February 2026

The South Dakota State Jackrabbits (11-14, 4-6 Summit League) visit the Denver Pioneers (12-14, 5-6 Summit League) at Hamilton Gymnasium, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 12, 2026. The Pioneers are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total is 158.5 for the matchup.
South Dakota State is coming off of a 68-67 loss to South Dakota in its last game on Saturday. Joe Sayler scored a team-best 21 points for South Dakota State in the loss. Denver enters this contest after a 98-79 win against North Dakota on Saturday. In Denver's win, Carson Johnson led the way with 22 points (adding three rebounds and seven assists).
South Dakota State vs. Denver Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Hamilton Gymnasium in Denver, Colorado
- Spread favorite: South Dakota State -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: South Dakota State -110
- Moneyline underdog: Denver -111
- Over/Under: 158.5 points
How to watch South Dakota State vs. Denver
Betting the Over/Under: South Dakota State vs. Denver
- South Dakota State and its opponents have combined to exceed Thursday's total of 158.5 points eight times this season.
- This season, 17 of Denver's games have ended with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
- Together, the two teams combine for 159.6 points per game, 1.1 points more than the over/under of 158.5 for this contest.
- The 156 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 2.5 less than the 158.5-point over/under in this contest.
- On average, the over/under in South Dakota State's games is 10.1 fewer points than the over/under of 158.5 in this contest.
- The over/under for this game is 8.7 points lower than the average over/under in Denver's games this season of 167.2.
Betting the Spread: South Dakota State vs. Denver
- South Dakota State has 10 wins against the spread in 22 games this year.
- The Jackrabbits are 6-7-1 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Against the spread, Denver is 14-8-1 this year.
- The Pioneers are 10-3-1 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
- Denver is 3-5 against the spread, and 3-5 overall, at home.
- At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Denver is 3-4 ATS.
- Away from home, South Dakota State is 5-4 against the spread, and 2-7 overall.
- South Dakota State has one win ATS (1-3) as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.
Betting the Moneyline: South Dakota State vs. Denver
- South Dakota State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 14 times this season and won eight, or 57.1%, of those games.
- The Jackrabbits have a record of 8-6, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- South Dakota State has a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Denver has been a moneyline underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win five times (35.7%) in those contests.
- The Pioneers have a win-loss record of 5-9 with odds of -111 or worse this year.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Denver has a 52.6% chance of pulling out a win.
Dunkel Index Prediction for South Dakota State vs. Denver
- Pick ATS: Denver (+ 1.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (158.5)
- Prediction: Denver 84 - South Dakota State 80
