SMU vs. Notre Dame Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 10
10 February 2026

The SMU Mustangs (16-7, 5-5 ACC) are strongly favored, by 11.5 points, versus the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-13, 2-9 ACC) on February 10, 2026 at Moody Coliseum. The Fighting Irish are struggling right now, having lost four in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 154.5.
In its most recent game on Saturday, SMU secured an 86-67 win against Pittsburgh. In the victory, Jaron Pierre Jr. paced SMU with 21 points. Notre Dame is coming off of an 82-79 loss to Florida State in its last game on Saturday. Notre Dame got a team-high 18 points from Braeden Shrewsberry in the loss.
SMU vs. Notre Dame Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
- Spread favorite: SMU -11.5
- Moneyline favorite: SMU -980
- Moneyline underdog: Notre Dame +596
- Over/Under: 154.5 points
How to watch SMU vs. Notre Dame
- TV Channel: ACC Network
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. Notre Dame
- SMU and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's over/under of 154.5 points 18 times this season.
- There have been nine Notre Dame games that finished with a combined score over 154.5 points this season.
- The Mustangs average 86.4 points per game against the Fighting Irish's 73.8, amounting to 5.7 points over the matchup's over/under of 154.5.
- The 150.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 4.4 less than the 154.5-point over/under in this contest.
- On average, SMU has had a 163.8-point over/under in its games this season, 9.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- The over/under for this contest is 8.0 points higher than the average over/under in Notre Dame's games this season of 146.5.
Betting the Spread: SMU vs. Notre Dame
- SMU has 11 wins against the spread in 23 games this year.
- The Mustangs have been favored by 11.5 points or more eight times this season and are 3-5 ATS in those games.
- Notre Dame has 12 wins against the spread in 24 games this year.
- This season, the Fighting Irish have two ATS wins in three games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
- SMU is 6-8 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home this season.
- At home, SMU is 3-5 ATS as a 11.5-point favorite or more.
- Notre Dame is 2-6 overall, and 5-3 against the spread, on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. Notre Dame
- SMU has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
- The Mustangs have been at least a -980 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 90.7% chance of a victory for SMU.
- Notre Dame has been a moneyline underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win three times (21.4%) in those contests.
- The Fighting Irish have been listed as an underdog of +596 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- Notre Dame has an implied victory probability of 14.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
