SMU vs. Florida State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 24

The SMU Mustangs (14-5, 3-3 ACC) host the Florida State Seminoles (8-11, 1-5 ACC) at Moody Coliseum, tipping off at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 24, 2026. The Mustangs are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The point total in the matchup is 166.5.

SMU won its most recent matchup 91-79 against Wake Forest on Tuesday. In SMU's win, B.J. Edwards led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding eight rebounds and seven assists). Florida State won its most recent game 65-63 against Miami (FL) on Tuesday. Robert McCray recorded 20 points, four rebounds and four assists for Florida State.

SMU vs. Florida State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
• Spread favorite: SMU -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: SMU -719
• Moneyline underdog: Florida State +500
• Over/Under: 166.5 points

How to watch SMU vs. Florida State

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SMU vs. Florida State

• A total of 10 of SMU's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 166.5 points.
• This season, seven of Florida State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 166.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 166.5 is 2.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mustangs (87.5) and Seminoles (81.4).
• This game's point total is 9.3 fewer points than the 157.2 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in SMU's games is 2.2 fewer points than the over/under of 166.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 4.8 points higher than the average over/under in Florida State's games this season of 161.7.

Betting the Spread: SMU vs. Florida State

• SMU has nine wins against the spread in 19 games this season.
• The Mustangs have been favored by 10.5 points or more seven times this season and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• Florida State has played 19 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Seminoles have an against-the-spread record of 4-1 in their five games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
• SMU is 5-7 against the spread, and 11-1 overall, at home this season.
• As a 10.5-point favorite or greater at home, SMU is 3-4 ATS.
• Florida State is 3-2 against the spread, and 1-4 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: SMU vs. Florida State

• SMU has been listed as the moneyline favorite 12 times this season and has won all of those games.
• The Mustangs are undefeated in seven games this season when favored by -719 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that SMU has a 87.8% chance to win.
• Florida State has won in one of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Seminoles have been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +500 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida State has a 16.7% chance of pulling out a win.