SFA vs. New Orleans Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 17

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (14-3, 7-1 Southland) take the court against the New Orleans Privateers (7-11, 4-4 Southland) as 5.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 147.5.

In its most recent game on Monday, SFA earned a 56-46 win over Incarnate Word. In SFA's win, Keon Thompson led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding seven rebounds and three assists). New Orleans came out on top in its most recent matchup 79-76 against SE Louisiana on Monday. Coleton Benson put up 30 points, two rebounds and one assist for New Orleans.

SFA vs. New Orleans Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Lakefront Arena in New Orleans, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: SFA -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: SFA -275
• Moneyline underdog: New Orleans +220
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch SFA vs. New Orleans

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: SFA vs. New Orleans

• SFA and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (147.5 points) five times this season.
• This season, 15 games New Orleans has played finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 153.5 points per game, 6.0 points more than the point total of 147.5 for this contest.
• This matchup's total is 2.5 fewer points than the 145 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in SFA's games is 5.9 fewer points than the over/under of 147.5 in this contest.
• New Orleans' games have an average over/under of 157.0 points this season, 9.5 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: SFA vs. New Orleans

• In SFA's 15 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• The Lumberjacks have been favored by 5.5 points or more seven times this season and are 7-0 ATS in those contests.
• New Orleans is 7-10-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this year, the Privateers have been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those matchups.
• At home this season, New Orleans has two wins against the spread and is 2-2 overall.
• At home, as a 5.5-point underdog or greater, New Orleans has one win ATS (1-1).
• SFA is 5-3 overall, and 6-2 against the spread, on the road.
• SFA is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 5.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: SFA vs. New Orleans

• SFA has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won 10, or 90.9%, of those games.
• The Lumberjacks have entered seven games this season favored by -275 or more, and won each of those games.
• SFA has a 73.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New Orleans has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win five times (41.7%) in those contests.
• This season, the Privateers have come away with a win two times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +220 or worse on the moneyline.
• New Orleans has an implied victory probability of 31.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.