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Senators vs. Canadiens NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 17

17 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Montreal Canadiens (26-15-7) will visit the Ottawa Senators (22-19-5) on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring two clubs at opposite ends of the Eastern Conference. Senators (-120) versus Canadiens (+100) looks pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa secured an 8-4 road victory over the New York Rangers in its last game on Jan. 14. Brady Tkachuk had four points (one goal and three assists) for the Senators.

Montreal lost 5-3 on the road against the Buffalo Sabres in its most recent game on Jan. 15. Nicholas Suzuki (one goal and one assist) and Cole Caufield (one goal and one assist) were among the three Canadiens players who recorded two points each in that matchup.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which club we pick to emerge with the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.

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Senators vs. Canadiens Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Canadiens 3 - Senators 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.01 goals)

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Senators vs. Canadiens Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Canadiens matchup.

  • Favorite: Senators (-120)
  • Underdog: Canadiens (+100)

Senators Betting Insights

  • In the 33 times this season the Senators have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 17-16 in those games.
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter, Ottawa is 17-13 (winning 56.7% of the time).
  • The Senators have a 54.5% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
  • Ottawa and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 24 of 46 games this season.

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • The Canadiens have been an underdog in 26 games this season, and won 14 (53.8%).
  • Montreal has a record of 12-9, a 57.1% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +100 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Canadiens, based on the moneyline, is 50.0%.
  • Montreal has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 28 of 48 games this season.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 148 total goals (3.2 per game) make it the 14th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • The Senators rank 22nd in goals against, allowing 153 total goals (3.3 per game) in NHL action.
  • Its goal differential (-5) ranks 18th in the league.
  • The 35 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season (on 153 power-play chances) are the sixth-most in the NHL.
  • Ottawa's 22.88% power-play conversion rate is the ninth-best in the league.
  • The Senators have scored three shorthanded goals this season.
  • Ottawa kills 72.39% of opponent power plays, the 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Ottawa has the second-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 55.1%.
  • The Senators have an 11.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 11th in the league.

Canadiens Key Stats

  • Montreal's 160 goals on the season (3.3 per game) rank third in the league.
  • The Canadiens give up 3.2 goals per game (155 in total), 26th in the league.
  • Its +5 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
  • The Canadiens have 32 power-play goals (on 137 chances), 10th in the NHL.
  • Montreal has the NHL's seventh-best power-play percentage (23.36%).
  • In terms of shorthanded goals, the Canadiens have four.
  • At 78.98%, Montreal has the 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Montreal is 18th in faceoff win rate in the NHL (49.8%).
  • With a shooting percentage of 12.8%, the Canadiens are second in the league.

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