Mariners vs. Padres Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - May 16

The Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres take the field on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET, at T-Mobile Park. Logan Gilbert (2-3, 3.78 ERA) gets the start for the Mariners, who are 22-24 this season and second in the AL West. Walker Buehler (2-2, 5.20 ERA) is starting for the Padres, who are 26-18 and second in the NL West.

With the Padres (+114) visiting, the Mariners (-135) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game's total is set at 7.

Mariners vs. Padres Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Saturday, May 16, 2026
• Game time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park
• Favorite: Mariners (-135)
• Underdog: Padres (+114)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Mariners vs. Padres

• TV Channel: FOX
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Mariners vs. Padres: Betting the Moneyline

• The Mariners have been the moneyline favorite 42 total times this season. They've gone 21-21 in those games.
• San Diego has come away with 10 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season Seattle has won 17 of its 29 games, or 58.6%, when favored by at least -135 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a win-loss record of 5-3 when favored by +114 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Mariners a 57.4% chance to win.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners vs. Padres: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Mariners have played in 46 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-25-1).
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 44 games with a total this season.
• The Mariners have a 17-29-0 record ATS this season (covering just 37% of the time).
• The Padres are 24-20-0 against the spread in their 44 games that had a posted line this season.