San Diego State vs. New Mexico Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 17

The San Diego State Aztecs (12-4, 6-0 MWC) host the New Mexico Lobos (14-3, 5-1 MWC) at Viejas Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Aztecs are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 146.5.

San Diego State heads into this matchup on the heels of a 74-57 victory against Wyoming on Wednesday. In the win, Reese Dixon-Waters led San Diego State with 13 points. New Mexico heads into this contest on the heels of an 87-64 victory against Grand Canyon on Tuesday. Jake Hall's team-high 22 points paced New Mexico in the victory.

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Viejas Arena in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: San Diego State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: San Diego State -204
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico +170
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• Seven of San Diego State's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 146.5 points.
• This season, nine of New Mexico's games have finished with a combined score higher than 146.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 146.5 is 16.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aztecs (81.9 points per game) and the Lobos (80.8 points per game).
• The 138 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 8.5 less than the 146.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, San Diego State has seen a 153.8-point over/under in its games this season, 7.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.5 points lower than the average over/under in New Mexico's games this season (147 points).

Betting the Spread: San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• San Diego State has played 15 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• The Aztecs have been favored by 4.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those matchups.
• New Mexico has 10 wins against the spread in 16 games this season.
• This year, the Lobos have two against the spread wins in four games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• San Diego State is 7-1 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, at home.
• San Diego State is 4-4 ATS as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home.
• New Mexico is 3-2 against the spread, and 3-2 overall, on the road.
• New Mexico has one win ATS (1-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• San Diego State has won 10, or 90.9%, of the 11 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Aztecs have entered nine games this season favored by -204 or more and are 8-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67.1% chance of a victory for San Diego State.
• New Mexico has come away with three wins in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Lobos have a win-loss record of 2-2 with odds of +170 or worse this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico has a 37% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for San Diego State vs. New Mexico

• Pick ATS: San Diego State (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (146.5)
  
• Prediction: San Diego State 71 - New Mexico 64