San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview/Prop Picks
11 October 2022
Time: 9:37 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 16.691; LA Dodgers 15.225
Dunkel Line & Total: San Diego by 1 ½; 9
Vegas Line & Total: LA Dodgers (-221); 7 ½
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+185); Over
The San Diego Padres were able to pull off a win over the New York Mets in the Wild Card series. Now, they face their own NL West rival, the Los Angeles Dodgers.
After finishing the season with a record of 89-73, the Padres face a tough challenge. Not many teams have been able to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres will have to do it at least three times.
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into not only this game but this series as favorites. It’s for a good reason, too, as the team was 111-51 during the regular season. With a 57-24 record at home, they’re preparing to send the Padres home early.
This won’t be an easy task for Los Angeles, though. The Padres pulled off a series win over one of the best teams in the National League.
San Diego Padres: Mike Clevinger (SP) gets the nod tonight
The San Diego Padres needed all three games to take out the New York Mets. Now, they’ll need to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers in at least three games.
The first two of these games are on the road, making it quite a tough challenge. Getting the start on the mound is Mike Clevinger, who has had a rough season. His record took a downturn in the second half of the year.
Clevinger has a 7-7 record with a 4.33 ERA coming into this game. The last time he pitched was against the Chicago White Sox, and the Padres won 5-2.
He’s backed up by a pretty solid group of batters as well. As a team, the Padres have a .241 batting average and have scored 705 runs. The question is, will it be enough to take down the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight?
Los Angeles Dodgers: Julio Urias (SP) will take the mound
This game will likely turn into a test of who has the better pitchers and the most resiliency. The Dodgers, who finished the year with a 111-51 record, are starting Julio Urias.
Urias has had an impressive year, posting a 17-7 record during the season. To pair with his impressive record was an ERA of 2.16 and 166 strikeouts. So, how can the Dodgers pull this game off?
It will start with the Dodgers getting an early lead, putting pressure on the Padres. As a team, the Dodgers have a batting average of .257, one of the best in the league.
They also have an on-base percentage of .333 and have scored 847 runs this year. Getting a lead shouldn’t be tough for the Dodgers. All they’ll need to do from that point is hold onto it.
Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Pick
This is a tough game to call, especially since each of these teams has a long history. The Dodgers come into this game as -225 favorites, while the Padres are +186. Although we think starting Clevinger is a mistake, we’ll still take the Padres tonight.
San Diego has a record of 45-36 on the road this season. This is a statement game for them, a way to start the series off right. We’re expecting a close game, but for the Padres to pull it out in the end with the total going over.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: San Diego Padres +186, OVER
Prop Picks
San Diego (-135) OVER 2.5 Runs
San Diego averaged 4.36 runs per 9 innings this season, which ranked No. 13 in MLB. That average increased to 4.99 runs per 9 innings on the road. Scores have gone OVER in four of the Padres’ last six road games versus the Dodgers.
With Dunkel predicting a San Diego win by the score of 5-4, take the Padres (-135) to finish OVER 2.5 runs scored against the Dodgers.
Mookie Betts (-110) OVER 0.5 Runs Scored
Betts scored 117 runs in 142 games played this season, which was tied for No. 1 on the Dodgers. The right fielder scored 22 runs in 61 at-bats against the Padres, which was the most he scored against a team.
With Dunkel predicting the final score going OVER the Vegas run total, take Betts (-110) to finish OVER 0.5 runs scored against San Diego.
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