Samford vs. Citadel Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 19

The Samford Bulldogs (15-12, 8-6 SoCon) visit the Citadel Bulldogs (9-18, 6-8 SoCon) at McAlister Field House, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 19, 2026. The Samford Bulldogs are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 140 points.

Samford heads into this contest on the heels of an 82-72 win against East Tennessee State in overtime on Saturday. Dylan Faulkner's team-leading 24 points paced Samford in the victory. Citadel is coming off of a 70-54 loss to Mercer in its most recent game on Saturday. Braxton Williams' team-leading 17 points paced Citadel in the loss.

Samford vs. Citadel Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 19, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: McAlister Field House in Charleston, South Carolina
• Spread favorite: Samford -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Samford -909
• Moneyline underdog: Citadel +500
• Over/Under: 140 points

How to watch Samford vs. Citadel

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Samford vs. Citadel

• Samford and its opponents have combined to go over Thursday's over/under of 140 points 20 times this season.
• In Citadel's 24 games this season, 11 finished with more combined points than Thursday's over/under of 140.
• Together, the two teams combine for 147.4 points per game, 7.4 points more than the total of 140 for this matchup.
• This game's point total is 11.0 less than the 151 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Samford has seen a 153.1-point over/under in its games this season, 13.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 5.3 points lower than the average over/under in Citadel's games this season (145.3 points).

Betting the Spread: Samford vs. Citadel

• In Samford's 25 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Samford Bulldogs have covered the spread once this season when favored by 10.5 points or more (in two chances).
• Citadel is 11-13-0 against the spread this season.
• The Citadel Bulldogs have been underdogs by 10.5 points or more 10 times this year and are 4-6 ATS in those contests.
• Citadel is 4-6 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, at home.
• Samford is 5-8 overall, and 7-6 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Samford vs. Citadel

• This season, Samford has been moneyline favorites 12 times and won 10, or 83.3%, of those games.
• The Samford Bulldogs have played as a favorite of -909 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 90.1% chance of a victory for Samford.
• Citadel has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (22.7%) in those games.
• The Citadel Bulldogs have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +500 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Citadel has an implied victory probability of 16.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.