Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11
11 February 2026

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in the nation and one that is sputtering, the Saint Mary's Gaels (21-4, 10-2 WCC), winners of two in a row, and 8-2 in their past 10 games, face the Pepperdine Waves (6-19, 1-11 WCC), who've dropped five straight and are 1-9 in their past 10. The Gaels are favorites by 24.5 points for this contest at University Credit Union Pavilion on February 11, 2026. The point total is 139.5 for the matchup.
In its last time out, Saint Mary's (CA) won on Saturday 79-54 over San Francisco. Paulius Murauskas recorded 20 points, eight rebounds and four assists for Saint Mary's (CA). Pepperdine's most recent contest was a 92-59 loss to Pacific on Saturday. Aaron Clark scored 17 points in Pepperdine's loss, leading the team.
Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine Odds and Game Time
- When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
- Where: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, California
- Spread favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -24.5
- Moneyline favorite: Saint Mary's (CA) -11111
- Moneyline underdog: Pepperdine +2667
- Over/Under: 139.5 points
How to watch Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine
- This season, Saint Mary's (CA)'s games have seen a combined score higher than this game's 139.5-point total 13 times.
- This season, 15 games Pepperdine has played finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points.
- The total for the matchup of 139.5 is 9.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gaels (78.4 points per game) and the Waves (70.3 points per game).
- The 142.4 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 2.9 more than the 139.5 total in this contest.
- On average, Saint Mary's (CA) has had a 142.6-point over/under in its games this season, 3.1 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- A difference of 9.1 points separates the average over/under in Pepperdine's games (148.6 points) and this game's over/under (139.5).
Betting the Spread: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine
- Saint Mary's (CA) is 12-11-0 against the spread this season.
- Pepperdine has played 23 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Waves have two ATS wins in three games as an underdog of 24.5 points or more.
- At home this year, Saint Mary's (CA) is 12-0 overall and 8-4 against the spread.
- This year in away games, Pepperdine is 7-3 against the spread and 1-9 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Saint Mary's (CA) vs. Pepperdine
- Saint Mary's (CA) has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 19 (95%) of those contests.
- The Gaels have not been a bigger favorite this season than the -11111 moneyline set for this game.
- The implied probability of a win from Saint Mary's (CA), based on the moneyline, is 99.1%.
- Pepperdine has won in three, or 15%, of the 20 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Waves have been listed as an underdog of +2667 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Pepperdine has a 3.6% chance of walking away with the win.
