Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 14

The Sacramento State Hornets (9-15, 5-7 Big Sky) visit the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (9-17, 3-10 Big Sky) at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The Lumberjacks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points.

Sacramento State is coming off of a 95-79 loss to Northern Colorado in its last outing on Thursday. In the losing effort, Prophet Johnson paced Sacramento State with 23 points. Northern Arizona fell in its last game 77-68 against Portland State on Thursday. Karl Markus Poom's team-high 21 points paced Northern Arizona in the losing effort.

Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, Arizona
• Spread favorite: Sacramento State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Sacramento State -121
• Moneyline underdog: Northern Arizona -105
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• This season, 14 of Sacramento State's 22 games have gone over Saturday's over/under of 154.5 points.
• Six of Northern Arizona's games have ended with a combined score higher than 154.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 151.4 points per game, 3.1 points fewer than the point total of 154.5 for this game.
• This game's point total is 4.1 less than the 158.6 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• Sacramento State has seen a 161.5 average over/under in its games this season, 7.0 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 6.1 points higher than the average over/under in Northern Arizona's games this season of 148.4.

Betting the Spread: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• In Sacramento State's 22 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Hornets have two against the spread wins in four games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Northern Arizona is 12-11-0 this year.
• The Lumberjacks are 10-11 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Northern Arizona is 6-5 against the spread and 5-6 overall.
• At home, Northern Arizona is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 1.5-point underdog or more.
• Sacramento State is 4-9 against the spread, and 0-13 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• Sacramento State has been the moneyline favorite in three games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Hornets have entered three games this season favored by -121 or more, and won each of those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Sacramento State has a 54.8% chance to win.
• Northern Arizona has been victorious in four, or 19%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Lumberjacks have a win-loss record of 4-17 with odds of -105 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Northern Arizona has a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.