Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 15

The Sacramento State Hornets (4-11, 0-3 Big Sky) host the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (6-11, 0-4 Big Sky) at Hornet Pavilion, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The Hornets are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 154.5 points.

Sacramento State enters this contest on the heels of a 96-69 loss to Portland State on Saturday. In Sacramento State's loss, Mikey Williams led the way with a team-high 29 points (adding three rebounds and one assist). Northern Arizona lost its most recent game 81-79 against Idaho State on Saturday. Karl Markus Poom recorded 22 points, five rebounds and zero assists for Northern Arizona.

Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Sacramento State -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Sacramento State -161
• Moneyline underdog: Northern Arizona +135
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• Sacramento State and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under (154.5 points) eight times this season.
• This season, three games Northern Arizona has played finished with a combined score higher than 154.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer points than the point total of 154.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 157.5 points per game, 3.0 more than this contest's over/under.
• Sacramento State has a 159.7 average over/under in its games this season, 5.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Northern Arizona's games have an average over/under of 148.4 points this season, 6.1 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• Sacramento State is 4-9-0 against the spread this year.
• The Hornets have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 3.5 points or more.
• Northern Arizona has played 14 games, with eight wins against the spread.
• The Lumberjacks have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State has covered the spread once at home, and is 2-1 overall there, this year.
• Sacramento State is winless ATS (0-2) as a 3.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Northern Arizona is 0-7 overall, and 3-4 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona

• Sacramento State won the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Hornets have played as a favorite of -161 or more once this season and won that game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for Sacramento State.
• Northern Arizona has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win one time (8.3%) in those contests.
• The Lumberjacks have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +135 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Northern Arizona has a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.