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Sabres vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 5

05 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Buffalo Sabres (32-18-6) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (28-15-12) on Thursday, Feb. 5, with both teams coming off a defeat. The Penguins are underdogs on the road, at +105, and the Sabres are -125.

Buffalo fell 4-3 in overtime on the road in its last game on Feb. 3 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. Mattias Samuelsson's two points (two goals) led the Sabres.

Pittsburgh's last game was a road overtime loss, 5-4, to the New York Islanders on Feb. 3. Justin Brazeau had two points (one goal and one assist) in that outing for the Penguins.

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to come out on top in Thursday's game.

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Sabres vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Buffalo Sabres and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Penguins 4 - Sabres 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.09 goals)

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Sabres vs. Penguins Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Sabres-Penguins game.

  • Favorite: Sabres (-125)
  • Underdog: Penguins (+105)

Sabres Betting Insights

  • The Sabres are 15-9 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Buffalo is 10-5 (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -125 or shorter.
  • The Sabres' implied moneyline win probability is 55.6% in this matchup.
  • Buffalo and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 27 of 56 games this season.

Penguins Betting Insights

  • This season the Penguins have won 15 of the 30 games, or 50.0%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Pittsburgh is 12-14 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Penguins have a 48.8% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh has played 28 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Sabres Key Stats

  • Buffalo's 190 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the seventh-highest scoring team in the league.
  • The Sabres have allowed 171 total goals (3.0 per game), ranking 13th in NHL play in goals against.
  • Its goal differential (+19) makes the team eighth-best in the league.
  • The 33 power-play goals the Sabres have scored this season (to rank 16th in the NHL) have come on 164 power-play chances.
  • Buffalo has the league's 16th-ranked power-play conversion rate (20.12%).
  • The Sabres have scored seven shorthanded goals this season.
  • Buffalo kills 82.12% of opponent power plays, the ninth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Buffalo wins 44.4% of its faceoffs to rank 32nd in the NHL.
  • The Sabres have a 12.3% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fifth in the league.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh has 186 goals this season (3.4 per game), 11th in the league.
  • The Penguins' total of 160 goals given up (2.9 per game) is seventh in the league.
  • Its +26 goal differential is the fifth-best in the league.
  • The Penguins have 38 power-play goals (on 144 chances), 10th in the NHL.
  • Pittsburgh has the league's third-best power-play percentage (26.39%).
  • This season, the Penguins have two shorthanded goals (25th in NHL).
  • Pittsburgh's has the third-best penalty-kill percentage (84.18%).
  • Pittsburgh wins 50.2% of faceoffs, 17th-ranked in the NHL.
  • The 11.7% shooting percentage of the Penguins is eighth in the league.

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