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Providence vs. Xavier Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 10

10 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Providence Friars (8-7, 1-3 Big East) square off against the Xavier Musketeers (9-7, 1-4 Big East) as just 1.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup's point total is set at 167.5.

In its most recent matchup on Wednesday, Providence suffered a 103-98 OT loss to UConn. Ryan Mela recorded 19 points, three rebounds and one assist for Providence. Xavier is coming off of a 66-65 loss to Marquette in its last game on Wednesday. Malik Moore recorded 22 points, three rebounds and three assists for Xavier.

Providence vs. Xavier Odds and Game Time

  • When: Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
  • Where: Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Spread favorite: Providence -1.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Providence -116
  • Moneyline underdog: Xavier -104
  • Over/Under: 167.5 points

How to watch Providence vs. Xavier

Betting the Over/Under: Providence vs. Xavier

  • This season, Providence's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 167.5-point total eight times.
  • There have been just two games featuring Xavier this season with more combined points than Saturday's total of 167.5.
  • The over/under for the contest of 167.5 is 2.5 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Friars (89.5 points per game) and the Musketeers (75.5 points per game).
  • The 159.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 8.2 less than the 167.5-point over/under in this contest.
  • On average, Providence has had a 173.6-point over/under in its games this season, 6.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • Xavier's games have an average over/under of 150.7 points this season, 16.8 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.
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Betting the Spread: Providence vs. Xavier

  • Providence has played 15 games, with eight wins against the spread.
  • The Friars have been favored by 1.5 points or more nine times this season and are 5-4 ATS in those contests.
  • Xavier is 8-8-0 against the spread this year.
  • So far this year, the Musketeers have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more seven times and are 4-3 ATS in those games.
  • At home this season, Xavier is 7-3 overall and 4-6 against the spread.
  • As a 1.5-point underdog or more at home, Xavier is 4-5 ATS.
  • In away games, Providence has two wins against the spread and are 1-2 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Providence vs. Xavier

  • Providence has won seven of the nine games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • The Friars have a record of 7-1 when favored by -116 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from Providence, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
  • Xavier has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win two times (28.6%) in those contests.
  • This season, the Musketeers have come away with a win two time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Xavier has a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

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