Providence vs. Butler Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4

The Providence Friars (9-13, 2-9 Big East) are favorites, by 3.5 points, over the Butler Bulldogs (13-9, 4-7 Big East) on February 4, 2026 at Amica Mutual Pavilion -- despite the Friars struggling right now, having lost four in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 170.5.

In its most recent outing on Friday, Providence suffered an 87-73 loss to Villanova. In Providence's loss, Stefan Vaaks led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding one rebound and four assists). Butler's last contest on Saturday ended in a 77-64 loss to Georgetown. Jamie Kaiser Jr. scored a team-best 19 points for Butler in the loss.

Providence vs. Butler Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island
• Spread favorite: Providence -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Providence -174
• Moneyline underdog: Butler +145
• Over/Under: 170.5 points

How to watch Providence vs. Butler

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Providence vs. Butler

• Nine of Providence's games this season have gone over Wednesday's total of 170.5 points.
• In Butler's 22 games this season, four finished with more combined points than Wednesday's point total of 170.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 170 points per game, 0.5 points fewer than the total of 170.5 for this matchup.
• The 162.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 7.7 less than the 170.5-point over/under in this contest.
• Providence has a 174.2 average over/under in its games this season, 3.7 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Butler's games have an average over/under of 158.7 points this season, 11.8 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Providence vs. Butler

• Against the spread, Providence is 11-11-0 this year.
• The Friars have an ATS record of 5-3 in their eight games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more so far this season.
• Against the spread, Butler is 12-10-0 this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 4-3 in their seven games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
• Providence is 6-5 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or more, Providence is 4-3 ATS.
• On the road, Butler is 3-3 against the spread, and 1-5 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Providence vs. Butler

• Providence has been the moneyline favorite in 11 games this season and won seven (63.6%) of those contests.
• The Friars are 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -174 or more on the moneyline.
• Providence has a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Butler has come away with two wins in the seven contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Bulldogs have a mark of 2-5 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• Butler has an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.