Steelers vs. Falcons Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) are favored by six points versus the Atlanta Falcons (0-0) on September 13, 2026, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The over/under for this one is set at 41.5 points.

Offensively, the Steelers ranked 25th in the NFL with 305.6 yards per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 26th in total defense (356.9 yards allowed per contest). The Falcons compiled 20.8 points per game on offense last season (24th in NFL), and they ranked 19th on the other side of the ball with 23.6 points allowed per game.

Steelers vs. Falcons Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• City: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium
• Total: 41.5 points
• Spread: Steelers -6
• Moneyline: Steelers (-265), Falcons (+215)

How to watch Steelers vs. Falcons

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Steelers vs. Falcons

• The Steelers and their opponents scored more than 41.5 points in 12 of 17 games last season.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Steelers games.
• Atlanta played 11 games last season that ended with a combined score over 41.5 points.
• Last season, eight Atlanta games went over the point total.
• The teams combined to score 44.2 points per game last season, 2.7 more points than this matchup's total.
• These two teams gave up a combined 46.4 points per game last year, 4.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Steelers vs. Falcons

• Pittsburgh compiled a 9-8-0 ATS record last year.
• Pittsburgh won its only game last season when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
• The Falcons won nine games against the spread last year, while failing to cover eight times.
• Atlanta covered the spread twice last year (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 6-point underdogs.
• The Steelers were 6-3 against the spread, and 6-3 overall, at home last season.
• Pittsburgh was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6-point favorites or greater at home last year.
• The Falcons were 6-3 against the spread, and 4-5 overall, on the road last season.
• On the road, Atlanta was unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Steelers vs. Falcons

• Pittsburgh was favored on the moneyline eight total times last season. They went 5-3 in those games.
• The Falcons were underdogs in 10 games last season and won five (50%) of those contests.
• Pittsburgh played as a moneyline favorite of -265 or shorter in only one game last season, which it won.
• Last season, Atlanta won two of its four games when it was the underdog by at least +215 on the moneyline.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Steelers have an implied win probability of 72.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Steelers vs. Falcons

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