Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview/Prop Picks

In a must-watch game on Wednesday night, the Phoenix Suns face the Minnesota Timberwolves. Phoenix, first in the Western Conference, already has their playoff spot locked. A win over the Timberwolves would prove, yet again, that they belong there.

The Suns have won five straight games, and they're looking for a sixth. Can they take down Karl-Anthony Towns?

The Timberwolves are trying to redeem themselves after a loss to the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks' defense proved to be too tough for the Timberwolves, and Minnesota lost, 108-110. Now, they prepare to host the top team in their conference.

A win over the Suns could mean better positioning. One team can emerge the victor, so who's the best pick on Wednesday?

Phoenix Suns: Will look to the Mavericks to beat Minnesota

The Phoenix Suns can use the same format that the Dallas Mavericks used to win this game. Dallas knew that to stop the Timberwolves; you have to limit the effectiveness of their offense.

Phoenix has a top ten defense in the NBA, allowing an average of just 106.46 points per game. They'll use this sixth-best defense in the league to focus their attention on Karl-Anthony Towns.

The good news for the Suns is that they aren't just great defense. They also rank fourth in the NBA in points scored per game at 114.86. The Timberwolves' defense is in the bottom ten of the NBA.

Knowing this, the Suns come in at a massive advantage in Wednesday night's game. They can beat the Timberwolves on both sides of the ball and come away with a road win. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: How can Minnesota beat the Suns?

It starts right from the beginning; Minnesota will need to play incredible defense. They've had flashes of a good defense in the past, but they really need it here. The Timberwolves were able to hold the Lakers to just 104 points.

However, in the game before that, they allowed the San Antonio Spurs to score 139. This inconsistency is what could lose this game for Minnesota.

The offense of the Timberwolves is what has won them so many games this year. However, offense to offense, they're nearly identical to the Phoenix Suns. The Timberwolves rank first in the NBA in points per game at 115.41, but the Suns are close behind.

The other problem is the Suns will try to take Karl-Anthony Towns out of this game. They've done so in previous games.

Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick

Before we make our pick, we'll first look at the most recent game between these teams. The Suns were at home and came in as eight-point favorites. Minnesota's offense put up 124 points, but that was no match for the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns won the game, 134-124, covering the spread. This time, the spread is much smaller, but most of the details are exactly the same.

Because of this, we'll take the Phoenix Suns over the Minnesota Timberwolves. Although they're the away team, Phoenix is 28-6 on the road this season.

Against the spread, Phoenix has a 21-13 ATS record. Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in their last five, and they've gone over the total in five of their last six.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Phoenix Suns -1.5, OVER

Prop Picks

Minnesota (-120) OVER 117.5 Points

Minnesota is averaging 115.4 points per game on offense, which ranks No. 1 in the league. That average increases to 123.3 points per game over the Timberwolves last three games. Scores have gone OVER in six of the Timberwolves’ last eight games as a Vegas underdog.

With Dunkel predicting a Minnesota victory by the score of 120-117, take the Timberwolves (-120) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 117.5 points against the Suns.

Deandre Ayton (-105) OVER 17.5 Points

Ayton is averaging 17.0 points per game, which ranks No. 2 on the Suns. That average increases to 19.0 points per game over his last 10 games and 22.0 points per game in his previous contest versus the Timberwolves this season.

With Dunkel predicting a high-scoring game tonight with the final score going OVER the Vegas total, take the Ayton (-105) to get plenty of scoring opportunities and finish OVER his Vegas total of 17.5 points against Minnesota.

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