Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

12 May 2022

The Phoenix Suns have the chance to eliminate the Dallas Mavericks tonight. As we enter Game 6, we wonder if the Suns can pull it off on the road. In Game 5, they came away with an easy 110-80 victory.

If they can repeat this performance, they could end the series in Dallas without a need for Game 7. If they lose, the series will be tied, and they'll finish in Phoenix.

On the brink of elimination, the Mavericks need to find a way to win. One problem, though, the entire course of the season was their offense. In the playoffs, this has yet again turned into a problem for them.

They've been unable to string strong offensive outings together, which was apparent in Game 5. So, between these two teams, who should make it onto your ticket?

Phoenix Suns: A fast-paced offense is the key to a win tonight

If the Suns can control the pace tonight and speed it up, they'll win this series. This is because Dallas has a tough time keeping up with the Suns offensively. Throughout the series, the Mavericks have scored over 110 points twice.

The Suns, on the other hand, have scored over 120 twice and nearly hit 130 points. With a high-powered offense, the Suns can't lose.

Defensively, the Suns can continue their same route, focusing on Luka Doncic. By shutting down Doncic, you eliminate most of what the Mavericks offense can do. The remaining players haven't done well in terms of points averages.

Keeping this in mind, the Suns are only two-point favorites tonight. The only question is can they secure a Game 6 win on the road?

Dallas Mavericks: A tough spot for the Mavericks to be

It's either a win or elimination for the Mavericks at the moment. Dallas has fallen behind in this series, and it's solely due to their offense. Through the series, the Mavericks have averaged 103.4 points per game.

It's safe to say that with an average like that, the Mavericks won't be winning very many games. So, what needs to be done so they can put more points up?

For starters, it has to come from players other than Luka Doncic. If they continue to rely on him for scoring, they're going to lose. It's time that players such as Jalen Brunson and Reggie Bullock contribute more than 10 points per game.

In fact, Bullock, during this series, has averaged just 3.7 points per game. It's no wonder why the Mavericks are down 3-2.

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick

Between the Suns and the Mavericks, the spread only has the Suns favored by two points. With such a small spread, we have to take the Suns in this one. They've got the better offense and have played much better defense than they did during the season. 

When betting on the total, we'd recommend taking the under. This could be a drawn-out game, especially against the Mavericks' defense. We think the Mavericks should be able to win this game by 6.5-points, but the total will stay under 212.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Phoenix Suns -2, UNDER

Prop Picks

Dallas (-115) UNDER 105.5 Points

Phoenix is allowing 107.3 points per game on defense, which ranks No. 9 in the league, while holding teams to 44.4 percent shooting from the field, which ranks No. 3. Scores have gone UNDER in each of Phoenix’ last four games at Dallas.

With Dunkel predicting a Phoenix victory by the score of 107-101, take the Mavericks (-115) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 105.5 points against the Suns.

Reggie Bullock (-110) UNDER 9.5 Points

Bullock averaged 8.6 points per game in 68 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 8 on the Mavericks. That average decreased to 5.4 points per game in Dallas losses.

With Dunkel predicting a Suns victory, take Bullock (-115) to finish UNDER his Vegas point total of 9.5 points against Phoenix.

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