Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Betting Preview/Prop Picks
23 June 2022
The game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres could be an interesting one. However, considering the fact that the Phillies have lost their last three games, this could mean trouble for Philadelphia.
Still, they have a record of 36-34, a few games above .500, so we know they can win. The question is, can they be good enough today to take down the Padres?
The San Diego Padres are one of the best teams in Major League Baseball. With a record of 44-27, the Padres have a strong 20-13 record at home as well. San Diego has won their last three games, giving them a 3-2 record in their last five.
Still, they can’t go into this game expecting to beat the Phillies easily. They’ll have to put in a lot of hard work to win this one.
Philadelphia Phillies: Losing streak hasn’t done much for morale
The Phillies are in a tough spot as they face the Padres today. They’ll have a four-game series after already losing their last three. With morale pretty low, they’ll need to find a way to get a win over the Padres.
This task is much easier said than done, considering who their batters will be facing. Let’s not forget they lost 9-3 to the Washington Nationals only a few days ago.
Getting the start on the mound for the Phillies is 5-4 Ranger Suarez. Suarez has an over .500 record as a starter but has an ERA of 4.43. With an ERA like that, it’s hard to see the Phillies doing well against the Padres batters.
Speaking of batters, Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with an average of .326. As a team, the Phillies have an average of .247, ranking 12th in MLB.
San Diego Padres: The Padres have been dynamite at home
As the Padres prepare to host the Phillies, there are a few things to keep in mind. For starters, the Padres rank fifth in Major League Baseball in runs at 337. In terms of on-base percentage, the Padres rank 9th with a .322.
Through their last three games, the Padres have averaged 5.6 runs per game. So, in many ways, they have a sizable advantage over the Phillies in this game.
On the mound tonight is Joe Musgrove, the 8-0 pitcher with an ERA of 1.59. It reassures us that the Padres not only have an advantage when it comes to batting.
With Musgrove on the mound, the Padres should be able to slow the Phillies to a full stop. Pairing that with the batting of the Padres, and you have a recipe for a win. The next thing to think about is the moneyline.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres Betting Pick
The Phillies are a good baseball team, that’s to be sure. However, playing the Padres today isn’t going to be an easy feat. Facing Musgrove will put the Phillies batters in a bind, and Suarez hasn’t done well recently.
Because of this, we’re going to go with the San Diego Padres -149 in today’s game. They have better batting and pitching along with an incredible record at home. We’ll also add the under onto our ticket as we don’t see the Phillies scoring much.
DunkelIndex Free Betting Pick: San Diego Padres -149, UNDER
Philadelphia (-145) UNDER 3.5 Runs
San Diego is allowing 3.73 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 4 in the league, while holding teams to a .220 batting average, which ranks No. 3. Scores have gone UNDER in 21 of the Padres’ last 32 home games.
With Dunkel predicting a San Diego victory by the score of 5-1, take the Phillies (-145) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Padres.
Joe Musgrove (-145) OVER 5.5 Strikeouts
Musgrove has 81 strikeouts in 79.0 innings pitched for an average of 9.2 Ks per 9 innings, which ranks No. 2 on the Padres. The Padres’ righthander has 36 strikeouts in 32 innings pitched at home.
With Dunkel predicting a San Diego home victory while holding the Phillies UNDER their Vegas team run total, take Musgrove (-145) to finish OVER 5.5 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
Keep up with your latest MLB news coverage at The Dunkel Index.
All Media on this page by Associated Press.