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Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview/Prop Pick

16 January 2022

 

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The Ohio State Buckeyes have a forecast 81% chance to win against The Penn State Nittany Lions with a spread of -8.5/8.5 and an over/under of 140.0. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 1 - 0 against The Penn State Nittany Lions in the 2021-22 Season.

Sunday, January 16th Penn State Nittany Lions @ Ohio State Buckeyes

 

 

One of the most storied rivalries in college history goes down on Sunday morning. The Penn State Nittany Lions face off against the Ohio State Buckeyes in a college basketball showdown. Penn State has had a tough year so far, currently with an 8-6 record.

They’ve gone 3-1 over their last four games and now take on the No.16 Ohio State Buckeyes. How will Penn State do?

The Ohio State Buckeyes have a 10-4 record, rank 16th in college basketball and 4th in the Big Ten. They’re coming off a 78-68 loss to Wisconsin and look to bounce back against Penn State.

Through their last four games, they’ve gone 2-2; one of the losses was to Indiana, a team Penn State beat. The Buckeyes come in as nine-point favorites in this one, so who’s the best pick?

Penn State Nittany Lions: There’s more than meets the eye here

Penn State might not have the best record, but they’ve got some notable wins under their belt. Probably their most important one when reviewing this game is their win over Indiana.

Indiana was able to easily beat the Buckeyes by 16 points. If Penn State was able to get a win over Indiana, they could beat Ohio State. The question is, what is it going to take to win this one?   

The first thing the Nittany Lions will need to do is establish their offense. They have trouble with slow starts, and they can’t afford one on Sunday against the Buckeyes.

The good news is the Buckeyes are heavy favorites here, so there’s a little wiggle room. Penn State also has a good defense allowing only an average of 65.0 points per game. Will that be enough against OSU?

Ohio State Buckeyes: One loss can’t distract the Buckeyes

Yes, the Buckeyes are coming off of a 10-point loss to No.13 Wisconsin. However, the Buckeyes can’t let that deter them from the task at hand.

The Nittany Lions may not seem like much, but they’re going to be some serious competition. Ohio State needs to focus on the things they do best. One of the things they do best is being an incredibly efficient scoring offense. 

The Buckeyes are 48.32% from the field; that’s ranks No.22 in all of college basketball. Being able to knock down nearly 50% of all your shots is something most basketball teams can’t say.

They’re also efficient from the 3PT line, shooting 37.80% and in the top-30 of all college basketball teams. Relying on their shooting is going to be their best bet against Penn State.

Our pick for the Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes

As much as we love the offense of the Buckeyes, we think the Nittany Lions are the best pick. They’ve gone 7-7 against the spread this year, compared to the Buckeyes 6-8 record. They’ve also gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games.

Ohio State will likely win this game, but not by nine points. Considering the spread is so large, it’s much safer to take Penn State to cover on the road. Especially since the Buckeyes have gone 2-4 ATS in their last six games.

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions +9, UNDER

Prop Pick

First Half Total (-110) UNDER 63.5 Points

Penn State is averaging 67.2 points per game on offense and is coming off a game against Rutgers where the Nittany Lions scored 66 points (27 in the first half), their lowest output in the last 3 games. Ohio State is averaging 75.6 points per game and is coming off a game against Wisconsin where the Buckeyes scored 68 points (27 in the first half), their second lowest output in the last 8 games.

With Dunkel predicting 55 first half points today, take the first half total to go under (-110) 63.5 points.

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