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Penguins vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 21

21 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Penguins (23-14-11) visit the Calgary Flames (21-23-5) on Wednesday, Jan. 21, with the Penguins coming off a win in their last game and the Flames a defeat. Penguins (-118) versus Flames (-102) looks pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

Pittsburgh won 6-3 on the road its last time out on Jan. 19 against the Seattle Kraken. Sidney Crosby (two assists) and Connor Dewar (two goals) were among the four Penguins skaters who recorded two points each.

Calgary played at home in its last game on Jan. 19, and fell 2-1 in overtime against the New Jersey Devils. The Flames got one point apiece out of three players in that matchup, including Kevin Bahl (one assist) and Matvei Gridin (one assist).

To prepare for this matchup, here is who we expect to secure the win in Wednesday's hockey game.

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Penguins vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Calgary Flames, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Flames 4 - Penguins 3
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.99 goals)

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Penguins vs. Flames Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Penguins-Flames game.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-118)
  • Underdog: Flames (-102)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • In the 20 times this season the Penguins have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 9-11 in those games.
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -118 or shorter, Pittsburgh is 7-10 (winning 41.2% of the time).
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Penguins have an implied probability of 54.1% to win.
  • Pittsburgh's 48 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 30 times.

Flames Betting Insights

  • The Flames have been an underdog in 36 games this season, and won 13 (36.1%).
  • Calgary has entered 33 games this season as an underdog by -102 or more and is 13-20 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.5% chance of victory for the Flames.
  • Calgary has combined with its opponent to score more than 5.5 goals in 29 of 49 games this season.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh's 155 total goals (3.2 per game) rank 15th in the NHL.
  • The Penguins have given up 140 total goals (2.9 per game), the seventh-fewest in league action.
  • Its goal differential (+15) makes the team ninth-best in the league.
  • The 37 power-play goals the Penguins have put up this season are seventh-best in the NHL (on 132 power-play chances).
  • Pittsburgh's 28.03% power-play conversion rate is the third-best in the league.
  • The Penguins have capitalized with two shorthanded goals this season (25th among NHL squads).
  • Pittsburgh's 83.1% penalty-kill success rate is the fourth-best in the league.
  • Pittsburgh has the 10th-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 50.7%.
  • The Penguins shoot 11.2% as a team (13th in the league).

Flames Key Stats

  • Calgary's 125 goals on the season (2.6 per game) rank 30th in the league.
  • The Flames' total of 143 goals allowed (2.9 per game) is ninth in the league.
  • Its -18 goal differential ranks 24th in the league.
  • The Flames have 23 power-play goals (25th in NHL) on 154 chances.
  • Calgary scores on 14.94% of its power plays, No. 31 in the league.
  • The Flames lead the league in shorthanded goals with seven.
  • At 82.99%, Calgary has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 48.9%, Calgary has the league's 22nd-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The 8.8% shooting percentage of the Flames is 31st in the league.

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