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Penguins vs. Bruins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 11

11 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Boston Bruins (24-19-2) will host the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-13-9) on Sunday, with Marat Khusnutdinov coming off four goals in the Bruins' most recent game. Penguins (-122) at Bruins (+102) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Pittsburgh's most recent game was a 2-1 home loss against the Calgary Flames on Jan. 10. Three Penguins skaters recorded one point each, including Yegor Chinakhov (one goal) and Evgeni Malkin (one assist).

Boston won at home in its last game on Jan. 10, 10-2 over the New York Rangers. David Pastrnak led the Bruins with six points (six assists) in that outing.

Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Sunday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Penguins vs. Bruins Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Bruins 4 - Penguins 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.93 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Penguins vs. Bruins Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Penguins-Bruins game.

  • Favorite: Penguins (-122)
  • Underdog: Bruins (+102)

Penguins Betting Insights

  • The Penguins are 7-9 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-5 (winning 44.4% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -122 or shorter.
  • The Penguins have a 55.0% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh's 43 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 21 times.

Bruins Betting Insights

  • The Bruins have won 18, or 52.9%, of the 34 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • Boston is 18-16 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +102 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Bruins have a 49.5% chance to win.
  • Boston has played 25 games this season with more than 6.5 goals.

Penguins Key Stats

  • Pittsburgh ranks 13th in the NHL with 139 goals scored (3.2 per game).
  • The Penguins rank 11th in goals against, allowing 129 total goals (three per game) in NHL action.
  • Its +10 goal differential is the seventh-best in the league.
  • The 34 power-play goals the Penguins have scored this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 117 power-play chances).
  • Pittsburgh's 29.06% power-play conversion rate is the third-best in the league.
  • The Penguins have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
  • Pittsburgh's 81.45% penalty-kill success rate ranks 11th in the league.
  • Pittsburgh wins 50.3% of its faceoffs to rank 15th in the NHL.
  • The Penguins shoot 11.2% as a team (11th in the league).

Bruins Key Stats

  • With 149 goals (3.3 per game), Boston has the NHL's sixth-best offense.
  • The Bruins' total of 145 goals allowed (3.2 per game) is 24th in the NHL.
  • Its +4 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
  • The Bruins have 34 power-play goals (on 132 chances), fourth in the NHL.
  • Boston scores on 25.76% of its power plays, No. 4 in the NHL.
  • In terms of shorthanded goal, the Bruins have one.
  • At 78.95%, Boston has the 19th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Boston wins 52.2% of faceoffs, fifth-best in the NHL.
  • The Bruins' 12.2% shooting percentage is sixth in the league.

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