Oregon vs. Penn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 14

In a game featuring two of the coldest squads in college basketball, the Oregon Ducks (8-16, 1-12 Big Ten) are favored by 6.5 points against the Penn State Nittany Lions (11-14, 2-12 Big Ten) at Matthew Knight Arena on February 14, 2026. The Ducks are 0-10 in their past 10 games. The Nittany Lions have are 2-8 in their past 10. The point total in the matchup is 147.5.

Oregon is coming off of a 92-74 loss to Indiana in its last outing on Monday. Wei Lin's team-leading 15 points paced Oregon in the losing effort. Penn State heads into this contest on the heels of a 63-60 win over Washington on Wednesday. Freddie Filione V scored 16 points in Penn State's victory, leading the team.

Oregon vs. Penn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon
• Spread favorite: Oregon -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Oregon -311
• Moneyline underdog: Penn State +240
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Oregon vs. Penn State

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Oregon vs. Penn State

• A total of 12 of Oregon's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 147.5 points.
• In Penn State's 25 games this season, 17 finished with more combined points than Saturday's point total of 147.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 147.4 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than the total of 147.5 for this contest.
• The 153.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 6.3 more than the 147.5 total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Oregon's games is 0.7 fewer points than the over/under of 147.5 in this matchup.
• Penn State's games have an average over/under of 154.4 points this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Oregon vs. Penn State

• Oregon has seven wins against the spread in 24 games this season.
• So far this season, the Ducks have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more seven times and are 3-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Penn State is 11-14-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this season, the Nittany Lions have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more nine times and are 6-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Oregon is 4-9 against the spread, and 7-6 overall, at home this season.
• At home, Oregon is 3-4 ATS as a 6.5-point favorite or greater.
• Away from home, Penn State is 2-6 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
• Penn State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 6.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Oregon vs. Penn State

• This season, Oregon has been moneyline favorites 11 times and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.
• The Ducks have entered seven games this season favored by -311 or more, and won each of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 75.7% chance of a victory for Oregon.
• Penn State has been a moneyline underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win two times (13.3%) in those contests.
• The Nittany Lions have a mark of 1-8 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +240 or worse on the moneyline.
• Penn State has an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.