Thunder vs. Nuggets Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 1

The Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City Thunder (38-11) will look to hold off their closest rival in that conference, the Denver Nuggets (33-16), on February 1, 2026 on NBC/Peacock.

The Thunder face the Nuggets in a game that Oklahoma City is currently a solid favorite by 7.5 points. The matchup's point total is 222.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, February 1, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Arena: Ball Arena
• Total: 222.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -7.5
• Moneyline: Thunder (-290), Nuggets (+235)

How to watch Thunder vs. Nuggets

• TV Channel: NBC/Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• The Thunder and their opponents have combined to score more than 222.5 points in 29 of 49 games this season.
• The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to score more than 222.5 points in 33 of 49 games this season.
• These teams score a combined 240.4 points per game, 17.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams put up 223.6 combined points per game, 1.1 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• Oklahoma City has won 23 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 26 times.
• The Thunder have an ATS record of 21-20 when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites this season.
• The Nuggets have compiled a 29-20-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Denver has won each of its four games this season when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
• The Nuggets are 14-9 overall, and 12-11 against the spread, at home.
• Denver is 6-6 ATS as a 7.5-point underdog or more at home.
• The Thunder are 17-6 overall, and 11-12 against the spread, on the road.
• Away from home, as 7.5-point favorites or more, Oklahoma City is 9-7 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Nuggets

• The Thunder have won 38 of the 49 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (77.6%).
• The Nuggets have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won nine (56.2%) of those contests.
• Oklahoma City has a record of 34-7 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter (winning 82.9%).
• This season, Denver has won three of its four games when it is the underdog by at least +235 on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Thunder a 74.4% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Nuggets

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (222.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 115 - Nuggets 107
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!