Notre Dame vs. Florida State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-12, 2-8 ACC) play the Florida State Seminoles (10-12, 3-6 ACC) on February 7, 2026 at Purcell Pavilion. The Fighting Irish are favorites by 2.5 points as they look to stop a losing trend. They're losers of three in a row and are 2-8 in their last 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 153.5.

Notre Dame heads into this matchup on the heels of a 76-65 loss to Louisville on Wednesday. Cole Certa put up 18 points, three rebounds and one assist for Notre Dame. Florida State took care of business in its last outing 88-80 against Stanford on Saturday. Chauncey Wiggins scored 23 points in Florida State's win, leading the team.

Notre Dame vs. Florida State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Notre Dame -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Notre Dame -145
• Moneyline underdog: Florida State +121
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• TV Channel: The CW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• Notre Dame and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (153.5 points) eight times this season.
• There have been 14 Florida State games that ended with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 153.5 is 0.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Fighting Irish (73.6 points per game) and the Seminoles (80.8 points per game).
• This matchup's over/under is 1.6 fewer points than the 151.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Notre Dame has seen a 145.9 average over/under in its games this season, 7.6 less than the over/under in this contest.
• Florida State's games have an average over/under of 160.4 points this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• Notre Dame has played 23 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Fighting Irish have an against-the-spread record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• Florida State is 12-10-0 against the spread this year.
• The Seminoles have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more nine times this year and are 5-4 ATS in those contests.
• At home this year, Notre Dame is 8-4 overall and 6-6 against the spread.
• Notre Dame is 4-4 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Florida State is 4-2 against the spread, and 1-5 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• This season, Notre Dame has won eight out of the nine games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Fighting Irish have won eight of their nine games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Notre Dame, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
• Florida State has come away with one win in the 10 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Seminoles have a mark of 1-8 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida State has a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.