Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 17

The Northern Colorado Bears (11-7, 1-4 Big Sky) visit the Sacramento State Hornets (5-11, 1-3 Big Sky) at Hornet Pavilion, starting at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Hornets are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 165.5.

Last time out, Northern Colorado lost 76-73 to Portland State on Thursday. In Northern Colorado's loss, Quinn Denker led the way with a team-high 18 points (adding three rebounds and six assists). Sacramento State won its last outing 83-69 against Northern Arizona on Thursday. Prophet Johnson's team-leading 29 points paced Sacramento State in the victory.

Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Northern Colorado -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Colorado -256
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +207
• Over/Under: 165.5 points

How to watch Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• Northern Colorado and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (165.5 points) seven times this season.
• There have been five Sacramento State games that finished with a combined score higher than 165.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 161.3 points per game, 4.2 fewer points than the point total of 165.5 for this game.
• The 159.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 6.3 less than the 165.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Northern Colorado's games is 4.2 fewer points than the over/under of 165.5 in this matchup.
• A difference of 6.2 points separates this matchup's over/under (165.5 points) and the average over/under in Sacramento State's games (159.3) this season.

Betting the Spread: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• Northern Colorado has eight wins against the spread in 15 games this year.
• This season, the Bears are winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 5.5 points or more (in four chances).
• In Sacramento State's 14 games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Hornets have been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 3-7 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State has covered the spread twice at home, and is 3-1 overall there, this season.
• Sacramento State is winless ATS (0-2) as a 5.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• This season in away games, Northern Colorado is 6-3 against the spread and 5-4 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Northern Colorado has won seven out of the 10 games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Bears have a record of 2-2 when favored by -256 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Northern Colorado has a 71.9% chance to win.
• Sacramento State has been moneyline underdogs in 11 games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
• The Hornets have won all of their 10 games in which they were named as at least a +207 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Sacramento State has a 32.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Northern Colorado vs. Sacramento State

• Pick ATS: Northern Colorado (- 5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)
  
• Prediction: Northern Colorado 85 - Sacramento State 76